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As of today (2024-04-26), Tribune Media Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.
Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
Tribune Media Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Tribune Media Co is N/A%.
The industry rank for Tribune Media Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:
The historical data trend for Tribune Media Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Tribune Media Co Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec04 | Dec05 | Dec06 | Dec07 | Dec13 | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | - | - | - | - | - |
Tribune Media Co Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sep14 | Dec14 | Mar15 | Jun15 | Sep15 | Dec15 | Mar16 | Jun16 | Sep16 | Dec16 | Mar17 | Jun17 | Sep17 | Dec17 | Mar18 | Jun18 | Sep18 | Dec18 | Mar19 | Jun19 | |
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | - | - | - | - | - |
For the Broadcasting subindustry, Tribune Media Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Tribune Media Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Tribune Media Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.
Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Tribune Media Co's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 0.00%,
which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
Tribune Media Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | = | Free Cash Flow per Share | * | {[(1+g1)/(1+d) | + | (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 | + | ... | + | (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10] |
+ | (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 | * | [(1+g2)/(1+d) | + | (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 | + | ... | + | (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]} |
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | = | Free Cash Flow per Share | * | {[x | + | x^2 | + | ... | + | x^10] | + | x^10 | * | [y | + | y^2 | + | ... | + | y^10]} |
= | Free Cash Flow per Share | * | [x | * | (1-x^10) | / | (1-x) | + | x^10 | * | y | * | (1-y^10) | / | (1-y)] | |||||
= | 0.000 | * | 11.5406 | |||||||||||||||||
= | 0.00 |
Margin of Safety (FCF Based) | = | (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) | - | Current Price) | / | Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) |
= | (0 | - | 46.66) | / | 0 | |
= | N/A % |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Tribune Media Co (NYSE:TRCO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about the DCF model:
1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings powerYou can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tribune Media Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Peter M Kern | director, officer: CEO | C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004 |
Ross Levinsohn | director | 701 FIRST AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089 |
Peter E Murphy | director | ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109 |
Craig A Jacobson | director | C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004 |
Edward P Lazarus | officer: EVP, General Counsel & CSO | C/O TRIBUNE COMPANY, 435 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60611 |
Oaktree Capital Group Holdings Gp, Llc | other: Former director and 10% owner | 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Oaktree Capital Group Holdings, L.p. | other: Former director and 10% owner | 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Oaktree Tribune, L.p. | other: Former director and 10% owner | C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Oaktree Aif Investments, L.p. | other: Former director and 10% owner | 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Oaktree Aif Investment Gp, Llc | other: Former director and 10% owner | 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
Peter Liguori | director, officer: President and CEO | 1 DISCOVERY PLACE, SILVER SPRING MD 20910 |
Melanie Hughes | officer: EVP, Human Resources | 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10007 |
Steven Berns | officer: EVP & CFO | TRADEWEB MARKETS INC., 1177 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036 |
Kenneth Liang | director | C/O 77 BEALE ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177 |
Bruce A Karsh | director | C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071 |
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