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Resideo Technologies (Resideo Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $62.03 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Resideo Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Resideo Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $62.03.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Resideo Technologies's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Resideo Technologies is 67.95%.

The industry rank for Resideo Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

REZI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.75
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Resideo Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Resideo Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Resideo Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Resideo Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Resideo Technologies Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Resideo Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Resideo Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Resideo Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Resideo Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Resideo Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Resideo Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 18.00%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Resideo Technologies's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 18.00%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 18.00%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $2.270.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Resideo Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.18)/(1+0.11) = 1.0630630630631
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.270*27.3243
=62.03

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(62.03-19.88)/62.03
=67.95 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Resideo Technologies  (NYSE:REZI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Resideo Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Resideo Technologies (Resideo Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
16100 North 71st Street, Suite 550, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85254
Resideo Technologies Inc is a manufacturer and developer of technology-driven products and components that provide critical comfort, energy management, and safety and security solutions. The company has two reportable segments; Products and Solutions segment offers temperature and humidity control, energy products and solutions, water and air solutions, smoke and carbon monoxide detection home safety products, security panels, sensors, peripherals, wire and cable, communications devices, video cameras, other home-related lifestyle convenience solutions, and ADI Global Distribution segment includes wholesale distributor of low-voltage security products including access control, fire detection, security, and video products. It derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Phillip L. Theodore officer: Pres., Products & Solutions 901 E. 6TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Tina M Beskid officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1835 DUEBER AVENUE, S.W., CANTON OH 44706
Jay L Geldmacher director, officer: President and CEO 5810 VAN ALLEN WAY, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Nina Richardson director C/O SILICON LABORATORIES, 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ, AUSTIN TX 78701
Jeannine J Lane officer: See Remarks 115 TABOR ROAD, MORRIS PLAINS NJ 07950
Robert B Aarnes officer: PRESIDENT, ADI 115 TABOR ROAD, MORRIS PLAINS NJ 07950
Dana Edward Huth officer: EVP, Chief Revenue Officer 1595 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 800, DENVER CO 80202
Anthony L Trunzo officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 27700 SW PARKWAY AVENUE, WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Kareem Yusuf director 901 E. 6TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Travis D Merrill officer: EVP, Chief Strat & Cml Officer 27700 SW PARKWAY AVE., WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Roger Fradin director C/O MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO., INC., 75 MAXESS ROAD, MELVILLE NY 11747
Jack R Lazar director 400 W. CESAR CHAVEZ, ATTN: STOCK ADMINISTRATION, AUSTIN TX 78701
Paul F Deninger director C/O JEFFERIES & CO., 1050 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Andrew C Teich director 3 HANSON DRIVE, MOULTONBOROUGH NH 03254
Brian Kushner director 527 MADISON AVENUE 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022