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Sculptor Capital Management (Sculptor Capital Management) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-12.86 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Sculptor Capital Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Sculptor Capital Management's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-12.86.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Sculptor Capital Management's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Sculptor Capital Management is N/A.

The industry rank for Sculptor Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SCMT's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Sculptor Capital Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sculptor Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sculptor Capital Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Sculptor Capital Management Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Sculptor Capital Management Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Sculptor Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Sculptor Capital Management's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sculptor Capital Management's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Sculptor Capital Management's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sculptor Capital Management's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Sculptor Capital Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Sculptor Capital Management's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-1.114.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Sculptor Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-1.114*11.5406
=-12.86

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-12.86-12.72)/-12.86
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sculptor Capital Management  (OTCPK:SCMT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Sculptor Capital Management Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Sculptor Capital Management (Sculptor Capital Management) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9 West 57th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Sculptor Capital Management Inc is an alternative asset management firm. The company provides asset management services to its customers. It manages multi-strategy funds, dedicated credit funds, including opportunistic credit funds and Institutional Credit Strategies products, real estate funds and other alternative investment vehicles.
Executives
Rithm Capital Corp. 10 percent owner 799 BROADWAY, New York NY 10003
Wayne Cohen officer: Executive Managing Director OCH-ZIFF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Charmel Maynard director 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Dubai Holding Llc 10 percent owner EMIRATES TOWERS, OFFICES, LEVEL 49, PO BOX 73311, DUBAI C0 00000
Meghna R. Desai director C/O SCULPTOR CAPITAL, 9 W 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
David Bonanno director 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
David Michael Levine officer: Chief Legal Officer OCH-ZIFF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Dava Ritchea officer: Chief Financial Officer 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bharath Srikrishnan director 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Abrams Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Georganne Proctor director 1 BELVEDERE PLACE, SUITE 300, MILL VALLEY CA 94941
Herbert Alvin Pollard officer: Chief Accounting Officer 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
James Morgan Rutman director 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Thomas Michael Sipp officer: Chief Financial Officer 9 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Erez Elisha officer: Chief Accounting Officer OCH-ZIFF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019

Sculptor Capital Management (Sculptor Capital Management) Headlines

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