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SINA (SINA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is SINA Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-26), SINA's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

SINA's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for SINA is N/A%.

The industry rank for SINA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SINA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 0.64
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

SINA Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for SINA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SINA Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

SINA Annual Data
Trend Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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SINA Quarterly Data
Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of SINA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, SINA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SINA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, SINA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SINA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



SINA Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> SINA's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 25.10%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

SINA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*31.2501
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-43.26)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SINA  (NAS:SINA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


SINA Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SINA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SINA (SINA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Courtyard 10, the West Xibeiwang East Road, No. 8 SINA Plaza, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN, 100193
Sina is a leading online media company in China, established in 1998. In 2009, Sina launched the first Twitter-like social media platform in China, Weibo, which has reached 361 million monthly active users and 159 million daily active users. Sina holds 46% of shares and has 72% voting power in Weibo, and Alibaba holds 31.4% of shares and 14.8% voting power. About 85% of net revenue is from online advertising, with 29.5% from portal advertising and 55.4% from Weibo advertising.
Executives
Hurst Lin director
Yan Wang director
Benjamin S Tsiang officer: Executive Vice President
Pehong Chen director 460 SEAPORT COURT, SUITE 102, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Yongji Duan director NO 2 HAIDIAN ROAD C/O PATRICK NG ZHONGGUANCUN F4 00000
Ter Fung Tsao director 2988 CAMPUS DRIVE STE 100 SAN MATEO CA 94403
Yi Chen Zhang director 28/F CITIC TOWER 1 TIM MEI AVENUE HONG KONG K3 00000
Xiaotao Chen director C/O STONE ELECTRONIC TECHNOLOGY 27/F, K. WAH CENTRE, 191 JAVA ROAD NORTH POINT K3
Song-yi Zhang director C/O: 10/F, FUNG HOUSE, 19-20 CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 -
Lip Bu Tan director ONE CALIFORNIA STREET 28TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Charles Guowei Chao director, officer: CEO & President
Herman Yu officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer C/O SINA, 20F, IDEAL PLAZA NO. 58, NORTH 4TH RING ROAD WEST HAIDIAN DISTRICT, BE F4 100080
Daniel Chiang director
Shanda Interactive Entertainment Ltd 10 percent owner NO. 208 JULI ROAD PUDONG NEW AREA SHANGHAI F4 201203
Skyline Media Ltd 10 percent owner PALM GROVE HOUSE P.O. BOX 438 ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000

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