BlackRock TCP Capital (BlackRock TCP Capital) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $18.46 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is BlackRock TCP Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), BlackRock TCP Capital's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $18.46.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

BlackRock TCP Capital's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for BlackRock TCP Capital is 45.34%.

The industry rank for BlackRock TCP Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TCPC's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

BlackRock TCP Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for BlackRock TCP Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BlackRock TCP Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

BlackRock TCP Capital Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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BlackRock TCP Capital Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of BlackRock TCP Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, BlackRock TCP Capital's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

BlackRock TCP Capital's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, BlackRock TCP Capital's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BlackRock TCP Capital's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

BlackRock TCP Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> BlackRock TCP Capital's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -8.80%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $1.600.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

BlackRock TCP Capital's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.600

11.5406

18.46

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(18.46	-	10.09)	/	18.46
	=	45.34 %

BlackRock TCP Capital (NAS:TCPC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

BlackRock TCP Capital Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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BlackRock TCP Capital (BlackRock TCP Capital) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » BlackRock TCP Capital Corp (NAS:TCPC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

8TC:Germany

Address

2951 28th Street, Suite 1000, Santa Monica, CA, USA, 90405

Website

https://www.tcpcapital.com

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp is an externally-managed specialty finance company focused on middle-market lending. Its investment objective is to achieve high total returns through current income and capital appreciation, with an emphasis on principal protection. It seeks to achieve our investment objective primarily through investments in debt securities of middle-market companies. The group generates returns through a combination of the receipt of contractual interest payments on debt investments and origination and similar fees, and, to a lesser extent, equity appreciation through options, warrants, conversion rights or direct equity investments.

Executives

Karen L Leets	director	125 SOUTH FRANKLIN STREET, CHICAGO IL 60606
Rajneesh Vig	officer: Authorized Person, other: Officer of Advisor	C/O TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA X1 90405
Karyn Leigh Williams	director	C/O TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, 2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Erik L. Cuellar	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Andrea Petro	director	C/O READY CAPITAL CORPORATION, 1251 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 50TH FL., NEW YORK NY 10020
Philip M Tseng	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Charles Park	officer: CCO	55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Howard Levkowitz	director, officer: Chairman & CEO	C/O TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Kathleen A Corbet	director	C/O ALLIANCE CAPITAL, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Paul L Davis	officer: Chief Compliance Officer, other: Officer of Investment Adviser	TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 2951 28TH STREET, STE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Brian F Wruble	director	TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Michael E Leitner	officer: Authorized Person, other: Officer of Adviser	C/O TENNENBAUM CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 2951 28TH ST., SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Eric John Draut	director	340 EAST RANDOLPH, SUITE 3101, CHICAGO IL 60601
Mark Holdsworth	officer: Authorized Person, other: Officer of Investment Adviser	140 S. LAKE AVE., STE. 304, PASADENA CA 91101
M. Freddie Reiss	director	2951 28TH STREET, SUITE 1000, SANTA MONICA CA 90405