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Westell Technologies (Westell Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $3.08 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Westell Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Westell Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $3.08.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Westell Technologies's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Westell Technologies is 54.22%.

The industry rank for Westell Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

WSTL's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 0.985
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Westell Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Westell Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Westell Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Westell Technologies Annual Data
Trend Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Westell Technologies Semi-Annual Data
Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep22 Sep23
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Competitive Comparison of Westell Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Westell Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Westell Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Westell Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Westell Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Westell Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Westell Technologies's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -83.10%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.267.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Westell Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.267*11.5406
=3.08

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(3.08-1.41)/3.08
=54.22 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Westell Technologies  (OTCPK:WSTL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Westell Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Westell Technologies (Westell Technologies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
750 North Commons Drive, Aurora, IL, USA, 60504
Westell Technologies Inc is a provider of wireless network infrastructure solutions. It is organized into the following operating segments, In-Building Wireless (IBW), Intelligent Site Management (ISM), and Communications Network Solutions (CNS). IBW segment solutions enable cellular and public safety coverage in stadiums, arenas, malls, buildings, and other indoor areas not served well or at all by the existing macro outdoor cellular network. ISM segment solutions include a suite of remote units, which provide machine-to-machine communications that enable operators to remotely monitor, manage, and control physical site infrastructure and support systems. The majority of revenue is derived from the CNS segment Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the USA.
Executives
Cary B Wood director 425 NORTH MARTINGALE ROAD, SUITE 1000, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Mark A Zorko director 9265 FAWN LAKE DR, RALEIGH NC 27617
Penny Robert C Iii director, 10 percent owner 750 NORTH COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Scott C Chandler director 9635 MAROON CIRCLE SUITE 400 ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Robert W Foskett director, 10 percent owner 750 NORTH COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Kirk R Brannock director 750 NORTH COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Timothy L Duitsman director, officer: President & CEO 750 N COMMONS DR AURORA IL 60504
Jeniffer L Jaynes officer: Interim CFO 750 N COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Jesse Swartwood officer: SVP, Worldwide Sales 750 N. COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Alfred S John officer: President & CEO 750 N COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Thomas P. Minichiello officer: SVP,CFO,Treasurer,Secretary 750 N. COMMONS DRIVE, AURORA IL 60504
Dennis O Harris director 750 NORTH COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Matthew B Brady officer: President & CEO 750 N COMMONS DR, AURORA IL 60504
Michael T Moran officer: SVP, IBW 750 N COMMONS DRIVE AURORA IL 60504
Jeannie Diefenderfer director C/O MRV COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 20415 NORDHOFF STREET, CHATSWORTH CA 91311

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