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A V Homes (A V Homes) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is A V Homes Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), A V Homes's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

A V Homes's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for A V Homes is

The historical rank and industry rank for A V Homes's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AVHI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry.
Industry Median: 0.5
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

A V Homes Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for A V Homes's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

A V Homes Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

A V Homes Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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A V Homes Quarterly Data
Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of A V Homes's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Residential Construction subindustry, A V Homes's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


A V Homes's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, A V Homes's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where A V Homes's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



A V Homes Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

A V Homes's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 19.84) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


A V Homes  (NAS:AVHI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


A V Homes Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of A V Homes's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


A V Homes (A V Homes) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
A V Homes Inc is engaged in the business of homebuilding, community development in Florida, Arizona, and Carolinas. It also engaged in the sale of land for third party development. Firm derives the majority of its revenue from the Florida. The group has built over 7,500 homes nationwide and it has been the recipient of numerous awards for planning and homebuilding accomplishments.
Executives
David Bonderman other: Former 10% Owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
James G Coulter other: Former 10% Owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Roger A Cregg director, officer: President and CEO 100 BLOOMFIELD HILL PARKWAY, STE 300, BLOOMFIELD HILLS MI 48304
Tpg Advisors Vi, Inc. other: Former 10% Owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Jonathan Pertchik director C/O TRAVELCENTERS OF AMERICA INC., 24601 CENTER RIDGE ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Matthew Coleman director 8601 NORTH SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 225, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85253
Reuben S Leibowitz director 466 LEXINGTON AVENUE 10TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Dave Gomez officer: EVP, GC and Secretary 7970 SOUTH KYRENE RD., TEMPE AZ 85284
Paul Hackwell director 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Kelvin L. Davis director 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Greg Kranias director C/O TPG CAPITAL, L.P., 301 COMMERCE ST, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Beth Stewart director C/O GENERAL GROWTH PROPERTIES INC, 110 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Milton H Dresner director C/O HIGHLAND COMPANIES, 28777 NORTHWESTERN HIGHWAY, SOUTHFIELD MI 48034
Michael P Rama officer: Controller C/O AVATAR HOLDINGS INC, 201 ALHAMBRA CIRCLE 12TH FLOOR, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
William G Spears director 45 ROCKEFELLER PLZ STE 1709, SPEARS GRISANTI & BROWN, NEW YORK NY 10111