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Dynavax Technologies (Dynavax Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Dynavax Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Dynavax Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Dynavax Technologies's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Dynavax Technologies is

The historical rank and industry rank for Dynavax Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DVAX's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.16
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Dynavax Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dynavax Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dynavax Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Dynavax Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Dynavax Technologies Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Dynavax Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Dynavax Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dynavax Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Dynavax Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dynavax Technologies's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Dynavax Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
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3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Dynavax Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 11.21) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dynavax Technologies  (NAS:DVAX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Dynavax Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dynavax Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dynavax Technologies (Dynavax Technologies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2100 Powell Street, Suite 900, Emeryville, CA, USA, 94608
Dynavax Technologies Corp is a biopharmaceutical company. The company focuses on leveraging the power of the body's innate and adaptive immune responses through toll-like receptor stimulation. Its current product candidates are being investigated for use in multiple cancer indications as a vaccine for the prevention of HEPLISAV-B (Hepatitis B Vaccine (Recombinant), Adjuvanted), operates in the business segment of discovery, development, and commercialization of novel vaccines. Its Toll-like Receptor Immune Modulation Platform technology plays a vital role in innate immunity and subsequent adaptive immunity. The company generates the vast majority of its revenue from the sale of its CpG 1018 product and HEPLISAV-B.
Executives
Robert Janssen officer: Chief Medical Officer and VP C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES, 2929 SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 100, BERKELEY CA 94710
David F Novack officer: Senior Vice President 39 YORKSHIRE DR, OAKLAND CA 94618
Hack Andrew A. F. director 300 THIRD STREET, FIRST FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Justin Burgess officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 2100 POWELL STREET, SUITE 1900, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Ryan Spencer officer: Co-President and Senior VP C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 2929 SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 100, BERKELEY CA 94710-2753
Francis Cano director 11 ACORN LANE, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Elaine D Sun director 11388 SORRENTO VALLEY ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Scott Dunseth Myers director C/O CASCADIAN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3101 WESTERN AVE., SUITE 600, SEATTLE WA 98121
Kelly Macdonald officer: SVP and CFO 100 SUMMER STREET, SUITE 2300, BOSTON MA 02110
Peter R. Paradiso director C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 2100 POWELL STREET, SUITE 900, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Julia Marie Eastland director C/O CASCADIAN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3101 WESTERN AVE., SUITE 600, SEATTLE WA 98121
Brent Macgregor director C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 2100 POWELL STREET, SUITE 900, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Peggy V Phillips director C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, 2929 SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 100, BERKELEY CA 94710
Robert Coffman officer: Chief Science Officer and VP C/O DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 2929 SEVENTH ST STE 100, BERKELEY CA 94710
Michael S Ostrach officer: VP, CBO, and General Counsel 1300 SEAPORT BOULEVARD, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063