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Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust (Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $0.01 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $0.01.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust is -29.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GULTU's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 1.11
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 9.30%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 9.30%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 9.30%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.0009.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.093)/(1+0.11) = 0.98468468468468
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.0009*15.2899
=0.01

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (0.01 - 0.0129) / 0.01
= -29.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust  (OTCPK:GULTU) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust (Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
601 Travis Street, 16th Floor, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust is a statutory trust. It holds overriding royalty interests in future production from each of McMoRan Oil & Gas LLC's Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous exploration prospects located in South Louisiana. The Royalty Trust holds short-term investments acquired with funds that it holds for the payment of its administrative and other expenses. The company's subject interests consist of approximately Inboard Lower Tertiary/Cretaceous. Its offshore subject interests consist of exploration prospects, including Barataria; Barbosa; Blackbeard East; Blackbeard West; Bonnet; Calico Jack; Captain Blood; Davy Jones; Davy Jones West; Drake; England; Hook and Hurricane, Lafitte, Morgan. The onshore subject interests consist of Highlander, Lineham Creek, and Tortuga.
Executives
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp 10 percent owner NINE GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 1300, HOUSTON TX 77046
Montex Highlander, Llc 10 percent owner 420 THROCKMORTON STREET, SUITE 550, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Neil S Subin 10 percent owner 2336 S.E. OCEAN BOULEVARD, #400, STUART FL 34996
Freeport Mcmoran Copper & Gold Inc 10 percent owner 333 NORTH CENTRAL AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Highlander Oil & Gas Assets Llc 10 percent owner NINE GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 1400, HOUSTON TX 77046
Miller Lloyd I Iii 10 percent owner
Mount Kellett Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46 FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Investment Group Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Operating Entity I Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fig Corp. 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Mk Advisors Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Leon G Cooperman 10 percent owner 7118 MELROSE CASTLE LANE, BOCA RATON FL 33496

Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust (Gulf Coast Ultra Deep Royalty Trust) Headlines

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