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LRR Energy LP (LRR Energy LP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $7.58 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is LRR Energy LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-29), LRR Energy LP's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $7.58.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

LRR Energy LP's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for LRR Energy LP is 43.01%.

The historical rank and industry rank for LRR Energy LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LRE's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 1.18
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

LRR Energy LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for LRR Energy LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LRR Energy LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

LRR Energy LP Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
- - - - -

LRR Energy LP Quarterly Data
Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of LRR Energy LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, LRR Energy LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LRR Energy LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, LRR Energy LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LRR Energy LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



LRR Energy LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.61%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> LRR Energy LP's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.657.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

LRR Energy LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.657*11.5406
=7.58

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (7.58 - 4.32) / 7.58
= 43.01 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


LRR Energy LP  (NYSE:LRE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


LRR Energy LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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LRR Energy LP (LRR Energy LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » LRR Energy LP (NYSE:LRE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
LRR Energy LP formed in April 2011 by Lime Rock Management LP. The Company is engaged in operating, acquiring, exploiting and producing oil and natural gas properties in North America. The Company's properties are located in the Permian Basin region in West Texas and southeast New Mexico, the Mid-Continent region in Oklahoma and East Texas and the Gulf Coast region in Texas. Its customers includes ConocoPhillips, Holly Frontier, Sunoco and Shell Trading Company. The Company's operations are subject to stringent and complex federal, state and local laws and regulations governing environmental protection as well as the discharge of materials into the environment.
Executives
Eric D. Mullins director, officer: Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board HERITAGE PLAZA, 1111 BAGBY STREET, SUITE 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
John T Reynolds 10 percent owner, other: Director by Deputization C/O C/O LIME ROCK PARTNERS, 518 RIVER SIDE AVE BLDG 11 2ND FL, WESTPORT CT 06880
Jonathan C. Farber director, 10 percent owner HERITAGE PLAZA, 1111 BAGBY STREET, SUITE 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jaime R. Casas officer: V.P. and CFO HERITAGE PLAZA, 1111 BAGBY STREET, SUITE 4600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Jonathan P Carroll director 4265 SAN FELIPE, 8TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77027
John A Bailey director 64 PERCH BAY WACCABUC NY 10597
Robert T Oconnell director C/O CENTERPOINT ENERGY, INC., 1111 LOUISIANA, HOUSTON TX 77002
Dawn Smajstrla officer: V.P., Controller and CAO 801 LOUISIANA, STE 700, HOUSTON X1 77479
Milton Carroll director C/O CENTERPOINT ENERGY, INC., 1111 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002