Southwestern Energy Co (Southwestern Energy Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Southwestern Energy Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Southwestern Energy Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Southwestern Energy Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Southwestern Energy Co is

The historical rank and industry rank for Southwestern Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SWN's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 1.11
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Southwestern Energy Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Southwestern Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Southwestern Energy Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Southwestern Energy Co Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Southwestern Energy Co Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Southwestern Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Southwestern Energy Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Southwestern Energy Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Southwestern Energy Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Southwestern Energy Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Southwestern Energy Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Southwestern Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	7.71)	/

Southwestern Energy Co (NYSE:SWN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Southwestern Energy Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Southwestern Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Southwestern Energy Co (Southwestern Energy Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Southwestern Energy Co (NYSE:SWN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

SWN:Mexico SW5:Germany SW5:Germany

Address

10000 Energy Drive, Spring, TX, USA, 77389

Website

https://www.swn.com

Southwestern Energy Co is a us-based independent energy company. It is engaged in exploration, development and production activities, including related natural gas gathering and marketing. The company principally carries its business activities in the United States. The operating segments of the company are the Exploration and Production and Marketing segment. Its Exploration and Production segment is the key revenue driver for the company which includes the revenue derived from the production and sale of natural gas and liquids. The Marketing segment generates revenue through the marketing of both the company and third-party produced natural gas and liquids volumes and through gathering fees associated with the transportation of natural gas to market.

Executives

Shameek Konar	director	CONSTELLATION ENERGY GROUP, INC., 100 CONSTELLATION WAY, SUITE 1800P, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Dennis Price	officer: SVP - Mktg, Trans & Comm	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391-2359
Carl Fredrick Giesler	officer: Executive Vice President & CFO	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391-2359
Gregory D Kerley	officer: Executive VP and CFO	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, SPRING TX 77389
Andrew T Huggins	officer: VP, Business and Comm Dev	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391-2359
John P Kelly	officer: SVP and Division Head	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391-2359
Derek W Cutright	officer: SVP and Division Head	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391-2359
William Q Dyson	officer: SVP - Operations Services	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391
Carina L Gillenwater	officer: VP, Human Resources and Admin	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391-2359
Christopher W Lacy	officer: VP-General Counsel & Secretary	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391
Michael E Hancock	officer: Vice President and Interim CFO	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391
Johnson S P Iv	director	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391
Richard Jason Kurtz	officer: Vice President	10000 ENERGY DRIVE, P. O. BOX 12359, SPRING TX 77391
Julian Mark Bott	officer: EVP	625 LIBERTY AVENUE, C/O EQT MIDSTREAM PARTNERS, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
William J Way	officer: Executive VP and COO	2350 N SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY EAST, SUITE 125, HOUSTON TX 77032