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Tilray Brands (Tilray Brands) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Tilray Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Tilray Brands's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Tilray Brands's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Tilray Brands is

The historical rank and industry rank for Tilray Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TLRY's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.16
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Tilray Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tilray Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tilray Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Tilray Brands Annual Data
Trend Aug14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Tilray Brands Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Tilray Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Tilray Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tilray Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Tilray Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tilray Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Tilray Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.44%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
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3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Tilray Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.1) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.1) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 1.78) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tilray Brands  (NAS:TLRY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Tilray Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tilray Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tilray Brands (Tilray Brands) Business Description

Industry
Address
265 Talbot Street West, Leamington, ON, CAN, N8H 5L4
Tilray is a Canadian producer that cultivates and sells medical and recreational cannabis. In 2021, legacy Aphria acquired legacy Tilray in a reverse merger and renamed itself Tilray. The bulk of its sales are in Canada and in the international medical cannabis export market. U.S. exposure consists of CBD products and alcohol.
Executives
Denise M Faltischek officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Mitchell Gendel officer: Global General Counsel EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Irwin D Simon director, officer: President & CEO C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Carl A Merton officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TILRAY, INC., 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1602, NEW YORK NY 10151
Brendan Kennedy director 1920 EASTLAKE AVENUE E., SEATTLE WA 98105
James R. Meiers officer: Head of Canada C/O TILRAY, INC., 655 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
David G. Hopkinson director C/O TILRAY, INC., 655 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
Thomas P. Looney director C/O TILRAY, INC., 655 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
Johann Michael Herhalt director C/O TILRAY, INC., 655 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
Jodi L. Butts director C/O TILRAY, INC., 655 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10065
David F Clanachan director TIM HORTONS INC., 874 SINCLAIR ROAD, OAKVILLE A6 L6K 2Y1
Renah Persofsky director 55 PRINCE ARTHUR AVENUE, #604, TORONTO A6 M5R 1B3
Jon Edward Levin officer: Chief Operating Officer 2701 EASTLAKE AVE E, 3RD FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98102
Michael C. Kruteck officer: Chief Financial Officer 2701 EASTLAKE AVE E, 3RD FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98102
Rebekah Dopp director 444 LENOX AVENUE, SOUTH ORANGE NJ 07079