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AlfaB de CV (AlfaB de CV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.20 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is AlfaB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), AlfaB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.20. The stock price of AlfaB de CV is $0.667. Therefore, AlfaB de CV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for AlfaB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ALFFF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.41   Max: 0.91
Current: 0.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of AlfaB de CV was 0.91. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.41.

ALFFF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
95.79% of 1068 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.215 vs ALFFF: 0.30

AlfaB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for AlfaB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AlfaB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

AlfaB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.42 1.96 1.99 2.08 2.54

AlfaB de CV Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.08 - - - 2.54

Competitive Comparison of AlfaB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, AlfaB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AlfaB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, AlfaB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AlfaB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



AlfaB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get AlfaB de CV's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,024.40.

AlfaB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1024.3962857143+1300.971*0.8)/4818.823
=2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AlfaB de CV  (OTCPK:ALFFF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

AlfaB de CV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.667/2.2398393992891
=0.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AlfaB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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AlfaB de CV (AlfaB de CV) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenue Gomez Morin Sur No. 1111, Colonia Carrizalejo, San Pedro Garza García, NL, MEX, 66254
Alfa SAB de CV is a Mexican company controlling three principal businesses: Alpek; Sigma and Axtel. The segments of the company are: 1) Alpek, This segment operates in the petrochemical and synthetic fibers industry, and its revenues are derived from sales of its products: polyester, plastics and chemicals. 2) Sigma, This segment operates in the refrigerated food sector and its revenues are derived from sales of its main products: deli meats, dairy and other processed foods. 3) Axtel, This segment operates in the telecommunications sector and its revenues are derived from the provision of data transmission services, internet and long-distance phone service. 4) Other segments, include all other companies operating in business services and others that are non-reportable segments.