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Altimmune (Altimmune) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-8.53 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Altimmune Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Altimmune's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-8.53. The stock price of Altimmune is $7.26. Therefore, Altimmune's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Altimmune's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Altimmune was 8.95. The lowest was 8.95. And the median was 8.95.

ALT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.28
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Altimmune Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Altimmune's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Altimmune Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Altimmune Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.17 1.26 -2.48 -7.96 -8.53

Altimmune Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.96 -9.08 -9.73 -10.01 -8.53

Competitive Comparison of Altimmune's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Altimmune's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altimmune's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Altimmune's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altimmune's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Altimmune Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Altimmune's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-46.18.

Altimmune's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.166546309341*-46.18192+194.099*0.8)/58.500
=-8.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Altimmune  (NAS:ALT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Altimmune's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.26/-8.5292155270818
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Altimmune Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Altimmune (Altimmune) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
910 Clopper Road, Suite 201S, Gaithersburg, MD, USA, 20878
Altimmune Inc is engaged on developing treatments for obesity and liver diseases. The Company's pipeline includes next generation peptide therapeutics for obesity and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (for both, pemvidutide, formerly known as ALT-801), and for chronic hepatitis B (HepTcell). The Company is managed and operates as a single business focused on the research and development of treatments for various diseases and disorders, and vaccines.
Executives
David Drutz director 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
Richard I Eisenstadt officer: Chief Financial Officer 4819 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, DURHAM NC 27703
Catherine A. Sohn director C/O JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS PLC, 5TH FL, WATERLOO EXCHANGE, WATERLOO RD, DUBLIN L2 4 L2
Matthew Scott Harris officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ALTIMMUNE, INC., 910 CLOPPER ROAD, SUITE 201S, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Raymond M Jordt officer: Chief Business Officer ALTIMMUNE, INC., 910 CLOPPER ROAD, SUITE 201S, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Wayne Pisano director C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., P.O. BOX 666, OLDWICK NJ 08858
Vipin K Garg director, officer: President and CEO 4819 EMPEROR BOULEVARD, SUITE 400, DURHAM NC 27703
John Gill director C/O PHARMATHENE, INC, ONE PARK PLACE, SUITE 450, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
M Scot Roberts officer: Chief Scientific Officer 910 CLOPPER ROAD, SUITE 201S, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Diane Jorkasky director 60 MANOR AVENUE, WELLESLEY MA 02482
Philip Hodges director 19 FIRSTFIELD RD., SUITE 200, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Vhcp Management Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Vhcp Co-investment Holdings Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 7 BRYANT PARK, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018