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Axonics (Axonics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.36 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Axonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Axonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.36. The stock price of Axonics is $66.69. Therefore, Axonics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 28.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Axonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AXNX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 26.37   Med: 26.37   Max: 28.28
Current: 28.26

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Axonics was 28.28. The lowest was 26.37. And the median was 26.37.

AXNX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
97.97% of 345 companies
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry
Industry Median: 1.67 vs AXNX: 28.26

Axonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Axonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Axonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Axonics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 2.36

Axonics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.52 1.29 1.80 2.36

Competitive Comparison of Axonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Axonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Axonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Axonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Axonics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Axonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Axonics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-41.32.

Axonics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-41.31776+637.564*0.8)/49.406
=2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Axonics  (NAS:AXNX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Axonics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=66.69/2.3618912205463
=28.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Axonics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Axonics (Axonics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
26 Technology Drive, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Axonics Inc is a United States-based medical technology company. It focuses on developing and commercializing novel products for adults with bladder and bowel dysfunction, that include implantable SNM systems to treat urinary urge incontinence and urinary urgency frequency (UUF); a urethral bulking agent (Bulkamid) to treat female stress urinary incontinence. SNM therapy is primarily used to treat patients with overactive bladder, fecal incontinence, and urinary retention.
Executives
Karen Noblett officer: Chief Medical Officer 26 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
Kari Leigh Keese officer: Chief Financial Officer 15205 LAFAYETTE WAY, TUSTIN CA 92782
Danny L. Dearen officer: See Remarks 26 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
Ford Alfred J Jr officer: Chief Commercial Officer 3303 MONTE VILLA PARKWAY, BOTHELL WA 98021
Rinda Sama officer: Chief Operating Officer 26 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
John Woock officer: Chief Marketing Officer 26 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
Raymond W Cohen director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Esteban Lopez director 6303 COWBOYS WAY, SUITE 600, FRISCO TX 75034
Jane E Kiernan director 525 W ROSCOE, CHICAGO IL 60657
Robert Mcnamara director C/O LDR HOLDING CORPORATION, 13785 RESEARCH BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78750
David M Demski director C/O GLOBUS MEDICAL, INC., 2560 GENERAL ARMISTEAD AVENUE, AUDUBON PA 19403
Robert E Mcnamara director C/O NORTHSTAR NEUROSCIENCE, INC., 2401 FOURTH AVENUE, SUITE 300, SEATTLE WA 98121
Bakker Juliet Tammenoms director, 10 percent owner LONGITUDE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO., LLC, 800 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 220, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Partners Andera 10 percent owner 374 RUE SAINT ST HONORE, PARIS I0 75001
Raphael Wisniewski director, 10 percent owner 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BOULEVARD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920