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Cadiz (CDZI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-3.17 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Cadiz Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Cadiz's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-3.17. The stock price of Cadiz is $2.25. Therefore, Cadiz's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cadiz's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CDZI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.03
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Cadiz Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cadiz's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cadiz Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cadiz Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.11 -6.27 -3.15 -3.00 -3.17

Cadiz Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -2.29 -2.41 -2.50 -3.17

Competitive Comparison of Cadiz's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Cadiz's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cadiz's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Cadiz's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cadiz's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cadiz Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cadiz's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-22.13.

Cadiz's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.993856731996*-22.13216+39.967*0.8)/66.727
=-3.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cadiz  (NAS:CDZI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cadiz's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.25/-3.1672965397756
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cadiz Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cadiz's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cadiz (CDZI) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
550 South Hope Street, Suite 2850, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90071
Cadiz Inc is a land and water resource development company in California. Its primary business is to acquire and develop land with water resources for various uses, including groundwater supply, groundwater storage, and agriculture. The company focuses on the development of the Cadiz Valley Water Conservation, Recovery and Storage Project which will capture and conserve native groundwater currently being lost to evaporation from the aquifer system beneath the property of Cadiz and Fenner valleys of eastern San Bernardino County, and deliver it to water providers throughout Southern California. The company operates in two segment- Land and Water Resources and ATEC Water Systems LLC.
Executives
Susan P Kennedy director 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, SUITE 2850, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Winston H Hickox director C/O THOMAS PROPERTIES GROUP, INC., 515 SOUTH FLOWER STREET, 6TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Maria S. Dreyfus director 125 WEST 55TH STREET, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Scott S Slater director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, SUITE 2850, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Heerema International Group Services Sa 10 percent owner ROUTE DE FLORISSANT 81, GENEVE V8 1206
Kenneth T Lombard director 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, SUITE 2850, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Richard Garcia Polanco director 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, SUITE 2850, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Stephen E Courter director C/O CADIZ INC., 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, 2850, LOS ANGELES X1 90071
Webb De Macias Carolyn D director 304 NORTH ALMANSOR STREET, ALHAMBRA CA 91801
Maria Echaveste director 1511 ARCH STREET, BERKELEY CA 94708
Odey Asset Management Llp 10 percent owner 18 UPPER BROOK STREET, LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM X0 W1K 7PU
Odey Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner 18 UPPER BROOK STREET, LONDON X0 W1K 7PU
Odey Robin Crispin William 10 percent owner 18 UPPER BROOK STREET, LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM X0 W1K 7PU
Odey Asset Management Group Ltd 10 percent owner 18 UPPER BROOK STREET, LONDON X0 W1K 7PU
Keith Brackpool director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, SUITE 2850, LOS ANGELES CA 90071