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Origin Enterprises (DUB:OIZ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €8.72 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €8.72. The stock price of Origin Enterprises is €3.30. Therefore, Origin Enterprises's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DUB:OIZ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.37   Med: 1.02   Max: 1.74
Current: 0.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Origin Enterprises was 1.74. The lowest was 0.37. And the median was 1.02.

DUB:OIZ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
90.62% of 1226 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs DUB:OIZ: 0.38

Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Origin Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.69 4.67 4.80 6.22 8.72

Origin Enterprises Semi-Annual Data
Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 6.22 - 8.72 -

Competitive Comparison of Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Farm Products subindustry, Origin Enterprises's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Enterprises's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Origin Enterprises's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Enterprises's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Origin Enterprises's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €54.67.

Origin Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.782718065916*54.667571428571+410.593*0.8)/117.841
=8.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Origin Enterprises  (DUB:OIZ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Origin Enterprises's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.30/8.7174629621248
=0.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Origin Enterprises Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Origin Enterprises (DUB:OIZ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4-6 Riverwalk, Citywest Business Campus, Dublin, IRL, 24
Origin Enterprises PLC is an agri-service business with operations throughout Europe. It provides technologies and strategic products to support food production systems for primary food producers. The company acts as an advisor for varietal selection, nutrition, crop protection, and other techniques to improve crop performance. Fertilizers, animal feed, seeds, and other agricultural supplements are sold to enhance farming productivity. It delivers products to farms from local distribution centers, and agronomists study the timing of applications to achieve the best results for customers. Farm visitations happen throughout each year, and soil and tissue analysis is conducted to either stop deficiencies or prevent future occurrences.

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