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Horizon Therapeutics (Horizon Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $53.00 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $53.00. The stock price of Horizon Therapeutics is $116.30. Therefore, Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HZNP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.98   Med: 2.05   Max: 27.05
Current: 2.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Horizon Therapeutics was 27.05. The lowest was 0.98. And the median was 2.05.

HZNP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.52 vs HZNP: 2.19

Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Horizon Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.27 18.13 29.31 39.78 52.06

Horizon Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.27 48.90 52.06 51.08 53.00

Competitive Comparison of Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Horizon Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $548.41.

Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*548.41088+5310.959*0.8)/233.936
=53.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Horizon Therapeutics  (NAS:HZNP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=116.30/53.004274592765
=2.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Horizon Therapeutics (Horizon Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
70 St. Stephen’s Green, Dublin, IRL, D02 E2X4
Horizon Therapeutics PLC is a biotechnology company. The company is focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of medicines that address critical needs for people impacted by rare, autoimmune, and severe inflammatory diseases. Some of its pipeline products include UPLIZNA; HZN-825; Dazodalibep; Daxdilimab; TEPEZZA and others.
Executives
Andy Pasternak officer: EVP and Chief Business Officer C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS PLC, CONNAUGHT HOUSE, 1ST FL, 1 BURLINGTON RD, DUBLIN L2 D04 C5Y6
Aaron Cox officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS PLC, 70 ST. STEPHEN'S GREEN, DUBLIN L2 D02 E2X4
Jeffrey W Sherman officer: EVP & Chief Medical Officer C/O IDM PHARMA, INC., 9 PARKER, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92618
Patrick Mcilvenny officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS PLC, 70 ST. STEPHEN'S GREEN, DUBLIN L2 D02 E2X4
Sean M. Clayton officer: EVP, General Counsel C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS PLC, 70 SAINT STEPHENS GREEN, DUBLIN L2 D02 E2X4
Thompson Elizabeth H.z. officer: EVP, Research & Development C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 TOWER PLACE, 12TH FLOOR, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Timothy P Walbert director, officer: President, Chairman and CEO 1033 SKOKIE BOULEVARD, SUITE 355, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Jacopo Leonardi officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS PLC, 70 ST. STEPHEN'S GREEN, DUBLIN L2 D02 E2X4
Paul W. Hoelscher officer: EVP Finance 1 HORIZON WAY, C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS, INC., DEERFIELD IL 60015
Michael A. Desjardin officer: EVP, Technical Operations C/O JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 3180 PORTER DRIVE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Miles W Mchugh officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O ACCRETIVE HEALTH, INC., 401 N. MICHIGAN AVE, SUITE 2700, CHICAGO IL 60611
Barry Moze officer: EVP, Corporate Dev't. C/O HORIZON PHARMA, INC., 520 EAST COOK ROAD, SUITE 520, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Brian K Beeler officer: EVP, General Counsel C/O HORIZON PHARMA PLC, 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 520, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Michael G Grey director C/O SGX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10505 ROSELLE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
William F Daniel director TREASURY BUILDING, LOWER GRAND CANAL STREET, DUBLIN 2 L2 00000