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Moncler SpA (MIL:MONC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €31.00 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €31.00. The stock price of Moncler SpA is €64.92. Therefore, Moncler SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:MONC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.6   Med: 2.34   Max: 2.73
Current: 2.09

During the past 14 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Moncler SpA was 2.73. The lowest was 1.60. And the median was 2.34.

MIL:MONC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.02% of 766 companies
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry
Industry Median: 0.92 vs MIL:MONC: 2.09

Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Moncler SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.27 20.39 27.16 31.00 -

Moncler SpA Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.16 - 31.00 - -

Competitive Comparison of Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moncler SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Moncler SpA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €489.14.

Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*489.14471428571+3214.429*0.8)/270.315
=36.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moncler SpA  (MIL:MONC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Moncler SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=64.92/36.407641111593
=1.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moncler SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Moncler SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Moncler SpA (MIL:MONC) Business Description

Address
Via Stendhal, 47, Milan, ITA, 20144
Moncler consists of its namesake brand and Stone Island (acquired in 2021). The Moncler brand is one of the leading players in luxury outerwear. It is globally present with 36% of sales generated in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 17% in the Americas, and 47% in Asia and rest of the world. Most of the company's sales are direct to consumer, with almost 80% generated through the own-retail channel. Around 75%-80% of revenue is generated in the core outerwear segment, with the remainder in the accessory, knitwear, and footwear categories. Stone Island contributed around 15% of revenue in 2022.

Moncler SpA (MIL:MONC) Headlines

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