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Movado Group (Movado Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $49.31 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Movado Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Movado Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.31. The stock price of Movado Group is $25.99. Therefore, Movado Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Movado Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MOV' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 0.7   Max: 0.83
Current: 0.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Movado Group was 0.83. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.70.

MOV's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
68.42% of 722 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.795 vs MOV: 0.53

Movado Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Movado Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Movado Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Movado Group Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.65 39.47 44.67 48.71 49.31

Movado Group Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.71 41.27 44.74 44.04 49.31

Competitive Comparison of Movado Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Movado Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Movado Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Movado Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Movado Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Movado Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Movado Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $73.85.

Movado Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*73.85024+516.798*0.8)/22.641
=49.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Movado Group  (NYSE:MOV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Movado Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=25.99/49.314016617923
=0.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Movado Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Movado Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Movado Group (Movado Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
650 From Road, Suite 375, Paramus, NJ, USA, 07652-3556
Movado Group Inc designs, develop, sources, markets, and distributes fine watches in the United States and internationally. It operates through the Watch and Accessory Brands and Company Stores segment. The Watch and Accessory Brands segment includes the designing, manufacturing, and distribution of watches of quality owned brands and licensed brands. Its Company Stores segment includes the company's retail outlet locations in the United States and Canada. It generates maximum revenue from the Watch and Accessory Brands segment. Geographically, it derives the majority of revenue from its international location.
Executives
Sallie A Demarsilis officer: Chief Financial Officer 142 WEST 57TH ST, NEW YORK NY 10019
Linda Feeney officer: SVP, Principal Acct. Officer 650 FROM ROAD, SUITE 375, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Michelle Kennedy officer: SVP, Human Resources 650 FROM ROAD, STE. 375, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Vivian Delia officer: SENIOR VP HUMAN RESOURCES C/O MOVADO GROUP INC., 650 FROM ROAD, SUITE 375, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Ann Kirschner director 650 FROM ROAD, SUITE 375, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Richard D Isserman director C/O MOVADO GROUP, INC., 650 FROM ROAD, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Maya Peterson director C/O MOVADO GROUP INC., 650 FROM ROAD, SUITE 375, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Efraim Grinberg director, 10 percent owner, officer: President - CEO C/O MOVADO GROUP INC, 650 FROM RD, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Alexander Grinberg 10 percent owner 125 CHUBB AVE, LYNDHURST NJ 07071
Behzad Soltani officer: EVP,Commercial President & CTO 650 FROM ROAD, STE 375, PARAMUS NJ 07652-3556
Alan H Howard director
Sussis Mitchell Cole officer: Senior VP and General Counsel 6 YORKSHIRE DRIVE, MENDHAM NJ 07945
Stephen I Sadove director
Maurice S Reznik director C/O MAIDENFORM BRANDS, INC., 154 AVENUE E, BAYONNE NJ 07002
Richard Cote director, officer: Executive V.P. - COO