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Chuy's Holdings (Chuy's Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $20.57 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Chuy's Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Chuy's Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.57. The stock price of Chuy's Holdings is $30.17. Therefore, Chuy's Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chuy's Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHUY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.45   Med: 1.88   Max: 5.61
Current: 1.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chuy's Holdings was 5.61. The lowest was 1.45. And the median was 1.88.

CHUY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.92% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.435 vs CHUY: 1.46

Chuy's Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chuy's Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chuy's Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Chuy's Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.10 14.10 16.13 18.14 20.57

Chuy's Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.14 18.97 19.56 19.37 20.57

Competitive Comparison of Chuy's Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chuy's Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chuy's Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chuy's Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chuy's Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Chuy's Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Chuy's Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $16.66.

Chuy's Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*16.65824+249.847*0.8)/17.427
=20.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chuy's Holdings  (NAS:CHUY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Chuy's Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=30.17/20.569799837606
=1.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chuy's Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Chuy's Holdings (Chuy's Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1623 Toomey Road, Austin, TX, USA, 78704
Chuy's Holdings Inc operates Chuy's, a restaurant concept offering a distinct menu of authentic, freshly prepared Mexican and Tex-Mex inspired food. It offers the same menu during lunch and dinner, which includes enchiladas, fajitas, tacos, burritos, combination platters and daily specials, complemented by a range of appetizers, soups, and salads. The company also offers a full-service bar in all of its restaurants providing its customers with a range of beverage offerings.
Executives
John Korman officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CHUY'S HOLDINGS, INC., 1623 TOOMEY RD., AUSTIN TX 78704
Ira L. Zecher director 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Michael C. Hatcher officer: See Remarks 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Starlette B Johnson director
John Mountford officer: Chief Operating Officer 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Jon W Howie officer: Chief Financial Officer 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Steven J. Hislop director, officer: President & CEO 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Jody L Bilney director 2202 NORTH WEST SHORE BLVD., SUITE 500, TAMPA FL 33607
Saed Mohseni director 720 SW WASHINGTON STREET, SUITE 550, PORTLAND OR 97205
Randall M Dewitt director 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Sharon A. Russell officer: Secretary and CAO 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Michael Roger Young director, 10 percent owner, other: Member of 10% Owner Group 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
John A. Zapp director, 10 percent owner, other: Member of 10% Owner Group 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Susan Kittrell officer: Controller 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704
Francis X. Biller officer: See Remarks 1623 TOOMEY ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78704