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Lumentum Holdings (Lumentum Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $55.05 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Lumentum Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Lumentum Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $55.05. The stock price of Lumentum Holdings is $42.01. Therefore, Lumentum Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lumentum Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LITE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.76   Med: 1.76   Max: 3.1
Current: 0.76

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lumentum Holdings was 3.10. The lowest was 0.76. And the median was 1.76.

LITE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.53% of 1629 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.39 vs LITE: 0.76

Lumentum Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lumentum Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lumentum Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Lumentum Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.10 33.31 49.93 58.90 56.69

Lumentum Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 60.67 59.23 56.69 56.07 55.05

Competitive Comparison of Lumentum Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Lumentum Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lumentum Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Lumentum Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lumentum Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lumentum Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lumentum Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $281.23.

Lumentum Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*281.232+1277.8*0.8)/67.200
=55.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lumentum Holdings  (NAS:LITE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lumentum Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=42.01/55.054576191018
=0.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lumentum Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lumentum Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lumentum Holdings (Lumentum Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1001 Ridder Park Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
Lumentum Holdings Inc is a California-based technology firm. The company provides two types of optical and photonic products: optical components that are used in telecommunications networking equipment, and commercial lasers for manufacturing, inspection, and life-science lab uses. Its segments are OpComms and Lasers. The firm is also expanding into new optical applications, such as 3-D sensing laser diode for consumer electronics. It generates maximum revenue from the OpComms segment. The OpComms segment products include a wide range of components, modules and subsystems to support customers including carrier networks for access (local), metro (intracity), long-haul, and submarine (undersea) applications.
Executives
Julia Suzanne Johnson director 1001 RIDDER PARK STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Yuen Wupen officer: See Remarks 2911 ZANKER ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Wajid Ali officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 400 N MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Pamela Fletcher director C/O COHERENT, INC., 5100 PATRICK HENRY DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Matthew Joseph Sepe officer: Chief Accounting Officer 400 NORTH MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Brian Lillie director 1485 BROOKMILL ROAD, LOS ALTOS CA 94024
Alan S Lowe director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 400 NORTH MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Judy G Hamel officer: SVP, GC and Secretary 400 MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Penny Herscher director 1001 RIDDER PARK DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Isaac Hosojiro Harris director 310 W 113TH ST # 801, NEW YORK NY 10026-3389
Vincent Retort officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer 400 MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Harold L Covert director 400 NORTH MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Jason Reinhardt officer: EVP, Global Sales 400 N. MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Janet S. Wong director 2510 LAKE FRONT CIRCLE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380-1576
Samuel F Thomas director 400 N MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035