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Nathan's Famous (Nathan's Famous) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $28.62 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Nathan's Famous Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Nathan's Famous's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.62. The stock price of Nathan's Famous is $64.62. Therefore, Nathan's Famous's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nathan's Famous's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NATH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.06   Med: 6.26   Max: 40.48
Current: 2.26

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Nathan's Famous was 40.48. The lowest was 2.06. And the median was 6.26.

NATH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
63.76% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.455 vs NATH: 2.26

Nathan's Famous Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nathan's Famous's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nathan's Famous Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Nathan's Famous Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.09 8.19 8.52 11.08 18.93

Nathan's Famous Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.62 18.93 21.11 26.32 28.62

Competitive Comparison of Nathan's Famous's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Nathan's Famous's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nathan's Famous's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nathan's Famous's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nathan's Famous's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Nathan's Famous Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Nathan's Famous's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $15.21.

Nathan's Famous's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.551003399274*15.21008+-34.979/0.8)/4.080
=28.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nathan's Famous  (NAS:NATH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Nathan's Famous's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=64.62/28.617121515499
=2.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nathan's Famous Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nathan's Famous's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nathan's Famous (Nathan's Famous) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Jericho Plaza, Second Floor - Wing A, Jericho, NY, USA, 11753
Nathan's Famous Inc is an owner of fast food franchises in the United States. The company's reportable segment includes the Branded Product Program, Product licensing, Restaurant operations and Corporate. Branded Product Program derives revenue principally from the sale of hot dog products either directly to foodservice operators or to various foodservice distributors who resell the products to foodservice operators. It generates maximum revenue from the Branded Product Program segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States.
Executives
Brian S Genson director
Joanne Podell director ONE JERICHO PLAZA, JERICHO NY 11753
Robert E Steinberg officer: VP Finance, CFO, Treasurer NATHAN'S FAMOUS INC., ONE JERICHO PLAZA, JERICHO NY 11753
Andrew M Levine director C/O NATHAN'S FAMOUS, INC., ONE JERICHO PLAZA, SECOND FLOOR - WING A, JERICHO NY 11753
Ronald G Devos officer: VP-Fin, CFO and Secy
James Robert Walker officer: SVP, Restaurants C/O NATHAN'S FAMOUS, INC., ONE JERICHO PLAZA, SECOND FLOOR - WING A, JERICHO NY 11753
Robert J Eide director 70 EAST SUNRISE HIGHWAY STE 415, VALLEY STREAM NY 11581
Randy Watts officer: VP - Franchise Operations 1400 OLD COUNTRY ROAD, SUITE 400, WESTBURY NY 11590
Leigh Platte officer: Vice President, Food Service C/O NATHAN'S FAMOUS, INC., ONE JERICHO PLAZA, SECOND FLOOR - WING A, JERICHO NY 11753
Scott F. Harvey officer: Executive Vice President ONE JERICHO PLAZA, SECOND FLOOR - WING A, JERICHO NY 11753
Donald P Schedler officer: Vice President
Barry Leistner director
Wayne Norbitz director, officer: President
Donald L Perlyn director, officer: Executive Vice President
Howard M Lorber director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137

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