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ONE Gas (ONE Gas) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $5.67 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is ONE Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), ONE Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.67. The stock price of ONE Gas is $64.55. Therefore, ONE Gas's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 11.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for ONE Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

OGS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.84   Med: 3.06   Max: 11.4
Current: 11.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ONE Gas was 11.40. The lowest was 2.84. And the median was 3.06.

OGS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.15% of 371 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.03 vs OGS: 11.40

ONE Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ONE Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ONE Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

ONE Gas Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.28 27.00 -30.97 -3.68 5.67

ONE Gas Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.68 3.50 2.46 2.78 5.67

Competitive Comparison of ONE Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, ONE Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ONE Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, ONE Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ONE Gas's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



ONE Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get ONE Gas's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-174.90.

ONE Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.844211261935*-174.9016+2765.877*0.8)/55.749
=5.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ONE Gas  (NYSE:OGS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

ONE Gas's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=64.55/5.6688317198441
=11.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ONE Gas Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ONE Gas's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ONE Gas (ONE Gas) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15 East Fifth Street, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74103
ONE Gas Inc is a regulated natural gas utility company. It is involved in the distribution and sale of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation consumers through its network of pipelines and service lines. Almost all of the company's revenue is derived from natural gas sales in the states of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. The company controls considerable market shares in Oklahoma and Kansas and is one of the largest natural gas utilities in the U.S.
Executives
Angela Kouplen officer: See Remarks 2425 SOUTH YUKON, TULSA OK 74107
Deborah Hersman director 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Michael G Hutchinson director 9540 SOUTH MAROON CIRCLE, SUITE 200, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Brian F. Brumfield officer: See remarks 15 EAST 5TH ST., 34TH FLOOR, TULSA OK 74103
Eduardo A Rodriguez director 100 WEST FIFTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
William Kent Shortridge officer: See Remarks 15 E. 5TH STREET, 34TH FLOOR, TULSA OK 74103
Tracy E Hart director 15 EAST 5TH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Jeffrey J Husen officer: See Remarks 15 EAST 5TH ST., TULSA OK 74103
John William Gibson director 100 WEST FIFTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Arcilia Acosta director LEGACYTEXAS FINANCIAL GROUP, INC., 5851 LEGACY CIRCLE, PLANO TX 75024
Robert B Evans director 100 COLLEGE STREET, MINDEN LA 71055
Douglas H Yaeger director
Pattye L Moore director 100 WEST FIFTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Mark A. Bender officer: See Remarks 15 EAST 5TH ST., 34TH FLOOR, TULSA OK 74103
Caron A Lawhorn officer: See Remarks 100 WEST FIFTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103