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Taylor Morrison Home (Taylor Morrison Home) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $126.77 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Taylor Morrison Home Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Taylor Morrison Home's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $126.77. The stock price of Taylor Morrison Home is $57.51. Therefore, Taylor Morrison Home's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Taylor Morrison Home's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TMHC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.27   Med: 0.46   Max: 2.37
Current: 0.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Taylor Morrison Home was 2.37. The lowest was 0.27. And the median was 0.46.

TMHC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.5% of 80 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.805 vs TMHC: 0.45

Taylor Morrison Home Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Taylor Morrison Home's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Taylor Morrison Home Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Taylor Morrison Home Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.41 62.25 76.13 112.12 126.77

Taylor Morrison Home Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 112.12 115.34 118.54 118.64 126.77

Competitive Comparison of Taylor Morrison Home's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Taylor Morrison Home's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Taylor Morrison Home's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Taylor Morrison Home's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Taylor Morrison Home's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Taylor Morrison Home Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Taylor Morrison Home's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $643.36.

Taylor Morrison Home's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*643.36272+5314.941*0.8)/108.972
=126.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Taylor Morrison Home  (NYSE:TMHC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Taylor Morrison Home's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=57.51/126.76678284555
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Taylor Morrison Home Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Taylor Morrison Home's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Taylor Morrison Home (Taylor Morrison Home) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4900 N. Scottsdale Road, Suite 2000, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85251
Taylor Morrison Home is an American residential construction company that builds single-family homes and communities throughout California, Arizona, Texas, Illinois, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina. Taylor Morrison also reports via a mortgage operations segment that provides financing services for its homebuyers. It constructs various types of single-family homes, from entry-level to luxury move-up homes, as well as active adult communities. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from its construction projects, with the West and central operating regions leading the way.
Executives
William H Lyon director C/O TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP., 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Sheryl Palmer officer: President and CEO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Darrell Sherman officer: EVP, CLO & Secretary 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Joseph Terracciano officer: Chief Accounting Officer 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Curtis Vanhyfte officer: Interim CFO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Louis Steffens officer: EVP and CFO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
David C Merritt director CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC, 12405 POWERSCOURT DRIVE, ST LOUIS MO 63131
Denise Warren director 209 REDWOOD SHORES PKWY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
C. David Cone officer: Vice President and CFO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Christopher J. Yip director 301 COMMERCE STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Gary H Hunt director C/O WILLIAM LYON HOMES, 4695 MACARTHUR COURT, 8TH FLOOR, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Peter R. Lane director 1500 SOLANA BOULEVARD, BUILDING 4, SUITE 4500, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Jeffry L. Flake director C/O 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Andi Owen director 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Tpg Group Holdings (sbs) Advisors, Inc. 10 percent owner C/O TPG GLOBAL, LLC, 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102