GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV (NYSE:VLRS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV (Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $70.63 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $70.63. The stock price of Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV is $8.45. Therefore, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

VLRS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.12   Med: 0.48   Max: 1.14
Current: 0.12

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV was 1.14. The lowest was 0.12. And the median was 0.48.

VLRS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
98.86% of 700 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.845 vs VLRS: 0.12

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.91 17.78 26.53 42.97 70.27

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 51.93 57.67 61.35 70.27 -

Competitive Comparison of Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Airlines subindustry, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $491.61.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.362038579862*491.6088+277*0.8)/116.598
=62.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV  (NYSE:VLRS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.45/62.454798125178
=0.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV (Controladora Vuela Compania de AviacionB de CV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Av. Antonio Dovali Jaime Number 70, 13th Floor, Tower B, Colonia Zedec Santa Fe, Mexico, DF, MEX, 01210
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV is a low-cost airline flying to Mexico, the United States, Central and South America. It currently operates up to 500 average daily flight segments on routes that connect 44 cities in Mexico as well as 22 cities in the United States, four in Central America and two in South America. It uses promotional fares to stimulate demand and the base fares are priced to compete with long-distance bus fares in Mexico. Revenues from the air transportation of passengers are recognized earlier when the service is provided or when the non-refundable ticket expires at the date of the scheduled travel. Non-passenger revenues include revenues generated from other non-passenger revenues and cargo services.