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Surmodics (Surmodics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.99 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Surmodics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Surmodics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.99. The stock price of Surmodics is $25.85. Therefore, Surmodics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Surmodics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SRDX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 2.43   Max: 4.31
Current: 2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Surmodics was 4.31. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 2.43.

SRDX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
70.72% of 345 companies
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry
Industry Median: 1.68 vs SRDX: 2.88

Surmodics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Surmodics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Surmodics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Surmodics Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.08 16.90 15.86 9.72 10.52

Surmodics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.91 6.83 10.29 10.52 8.99

Competitive Comparison of Surmodics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Surmodics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Surmodics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Surmodics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Surmodics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Surmodics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Surmodics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2.91.

Surmodics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*2.9104+122.15*0.8)/14.102
=8.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Surmodics  (NAS:SRDX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Surmodics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=25.85/8.9908900446376
=2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Surmodics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Surmodics (Surmodics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9924 West 74th Street, Eden Prairie, MN, USA, 55344
Surmodics Inc is a provider of surface modification and in vitro diagnostic technologies to the healthcare industry. The company's mission is to improve the treatment and detection of disease by using its technology to provide solutions to difficult medical devices and diagnostic challenges. It has two reportable segments: Medical device unit; Manufacture of performance coatings, including surface modification coating technologies and the Vitro diagnostics unit; Manufacture of chemical and biological components used in in vitro diagnostic immunoassay and molecular tests within the diagnostic and biomedical research markets. Surmodics derives majority of its revenue from the Medical Device segment.
Executives
Jose H Bedoya director
David Dantzker other: See Explanation of Responses 80 CUTTERMILL ROAD STE 311, GREAT NECK NY 11021
Kalich Ronald B Sr director
Gary R Maharaj director, officer: President & CEO 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Joseph J. Stich officer: VP, Corp Dev & Strat Planning 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Charles W Olson officer: General Manager
John D. Manders officer: Corporate Controller 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Gordon S. Weber officer: Sr. VP of Legal, GC and Sec. 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Nusrath Sultana officer: VP, Clinical Affairs 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Lisa Wipperman Heine director 1244 76TH STREET WEST, INVER GROVE HEIGHTS MN 55077
Teri Woodwick Sides officer: Senior VP and CMO 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Gregg S Sutton officer: VP of Research and Development 6464 SYCAMORE COURT NORTH, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55369
Susan E Knight director 9154 BRECKENRIDGE LANE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55437
Bryan K Phillips officer: Dep. Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Timothy J. Arens officer: General Manager - IVD 9924 WEST 74TH STREET, EDEN PRAIRIE X1 55344

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