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Svenska Cellulosa AB (Svenska Cellulosa AB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $10.80 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Svenska Cellulosa AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-14), Svenska Cellulosa AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $10.80. The stock price of Svenska Cellulosa AB is $13.95. Therefore, Svenska Cellulosa AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Svenska Cellulosa AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SVCBF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 0.76   Max: 1.33
Current: 1.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Svenska Cellulosa AB was 1.33. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 0.76.

SVCBF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.04% of 230 companies
in the Forest Products industry
Industry Median: 0.76 vs SVCBF: 1.29

Svenska Cellulosa AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Svenska Cellulosa AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Svenska Cellulosa AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Svenska Cellulosa AB Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.52 17.31 15.07 12.91 13.84

Svenska Cellulosa AB Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.20 11.70 11.80 13.84 11.01

Competitive Comparison of Svenska Cellulosa AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Svenska Cellulosa AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Svenska Cellulosa AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Svenska Cellulosa AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Svenska Cellulosa AB's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Svenska Cellulosa AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Svenska Cellulosa AB's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $79.26.

Svenska Cellulosa AB's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*79.264+9925.85*0.8)/702.300
=12.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Svenska Cellulosa AB  (OTCPK:SVCBF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Svenska Cellulosa AB's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=13.95/12.381177771469
=1.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Svenska Cellulosa AB Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Svenska Cellulosa AB (Svenska Cellulosa AB) Business Description

Address
Skepparplatsen 1, Sundsvall, SWE, SE-851 88
Svenska Cellulosa AB is Europe's private forest owner, engaged in four business segments; the Forest segment supplies its industries with timber. The segment includes managing and harvesting on its own forest land, sourcing timber from other forest owners, and transporting the timber to its industries, The Wood segment includes five sawmills in northern Sweden and wood processing and distribution to the building materials trade in Sweden and France, The Pulp segment encompasses the production and sale of bleached softwood kraft pulp (NBSK) and chemi-thermomechanical pulp (CTMP), which are produced at the Ostrand pulp mill, and The Containerboard segment includes packaging paper with kraft liner manufacturing at the Obbola and Munksund paper mills.

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