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Savara (Savara) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-2.60 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Savara Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-15), Savara's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.60. The stock price of Savara is $4.90. Therefore, Savara's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Savara's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SVRA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.45
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Savara Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Savara's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Savara Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Savara Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.58 -3.56 -1.09 -3.07 -2.42

Savara Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.22 -3.19 -2.61 -2.42 -2.60

Competitive Comparison of Savara's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Savara's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Savara's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Savara's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Savara's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Savara Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Savara's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-43.91.

Savara's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.048222848751*-43.91408+121.861*0.8)/182.550
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Savara  (NAS:SVRA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Savara's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.90/-2.6048310163675
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Savara Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Savara's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Savara (Savara) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6836 Bee Cave Road, Building I, Suite 205, Austin, TX, USA, 78746
Savara Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. It is focused on rare respiratory diseases. The company's lead program, molgramostim nebulizer solution (molgramostim), is an inhaled granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor in Phase 3 development for autoimmune pulmonary alveolar proteinosis (aPAP). It has one segment specialty pharmaceuticals within the respiratory system.
Executives
Matthew Pauls director 9 DEER PARK DRIVE, SUITE C, MONMOUTH JUNCTION NJ 08852
David L Lowrance officer: Chief Financial Officer 422 WILLIAM WALLACE DRIVE, FRANKLIN TN 37064
Nevan C Elam director C/O NEKTAR THERAPEUTICS, 150 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Rick Yang 10 percent owner 2855 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Scott D Sandell 10 percent owner
Forest Baskett 10 percent owner
Florence Anthony A. Jr. 10 percent owner 5425 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 800, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Ali Behbahani 10 percent owner 5425 WISCONSIN AVE, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Mohamad Makhzoumi 10 percent owner 2855 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Paul Edward Walker 10 percent owner 1954 GREENSPRING DRIVE, SUITE 600, TIMONIUM MD 21093
Carmen Chang 10 percent owner 2855 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Edward T Mathers 10 percent owner C/O MEDIMMUNE, INC., ONE MEDIMMUNE WAY, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Growth Equity Opportunities 17, Llc 10 percent owner 1954 GREENSPRING DRIVE, SUITE 600, TIMONIUM MD 21093
Raymond Dennis Pratt officer: Chief Medical Officer 208 E CHASE ST, BALTIMORE MD 21202
David A Ramsay director HALOZYME THERAPEUTICS, INC., 11588 SORRENTO VALLEY ROAD, #17, SAN DIEGO CA 92121