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TAG Oil (TAG Oil) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-0.09 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is TAG Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), TAG Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.09. The stock price of TAG Oil is $0.4337. Therefore, TAG Oil's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for TAG Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TAOIF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.86
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

TAG Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for TAG Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TAG Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

TAG Oil Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.91 -0.64 -0.51 -0.37 -0.26

TAG Oil Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.29 -0.18 -0.26 -0.18 -0.09

Competitive Comparison of TAG Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, TAG Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TAG Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, TAG Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TAG Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



TAG Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get TAG Oil's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-5.06.

TAG Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-5.05664+37.02*0.8)/169.194
=-0.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TAG Oil  (OTCPK:TAOIF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

TAG Oil's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.4337/-0.1094896432156
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TAG Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TAG Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TAG Oil (TAG Oil) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » TAG Oil Ltd (OTCPK:TAOIF) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1710 - 1050 West Pender Street, Suite 2040, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6E 3S7
TAG Oil Ltd is a Canada-based oil and gas exploration, development, and production company. It operates through three geographical segments namely Canada, New Zealand, and Australia. Geographically, the firm generates a majority of its revenue from New Zealand.

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