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Olympic Group (TSE:8289) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円1,323.29 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Olympic Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Olympic Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円1,323.29. The stock price of Olympic Group is 円504.00. Therefore, Olympic Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Olympic Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8289' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 0.74   Max: 1.23
Current: 0.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Olympic Group was 1.23. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 0.74.

TSE:8289's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
80.19% of 722 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.795 vs TSE:8289: 0.38

Olympic Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Olympic Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Olympic Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Olympic Group Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 974.40 1,247.55 1,672.09 1,492.50 1,323.29

Olympic Group Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1,323.29 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Olympic Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Olympic Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Olympic Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Olympic Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Olympic Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Olympic Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Olympic Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円958.86.

Olympic Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*958.85714285714+26584*0.8)/22.970
=1,323.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Olympic Group  (TSE:8289) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Olympic Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=504.00/1323.285029617
=0.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Olympic Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Olympic Group (TSE:8289) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Tokyo Honmachi 4-12-1, Kokubunji, JPN, 185-0012
Olympic Group Corp is a Japan-based company, engages in the retail business. The company offers food, daily necessities, sports and leisure goods, pet supplies, shoes, clothing, DIY and gardening supplies; pet trimming and related products; footwear and related products; golf equipment; and car supplies. It also develops retail businesses such as specialty stores, discount stores, supermarkets, store development, and facility management businesses, as well as the production and wholesale of prepared foods.

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