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Julius Baer Gruppe AG (XSWX:BAER) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : CHF-22.33 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Julius Baer Gruppe AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-22.33. The stock price of Julius Baer Gruppe AG is CHF49.11. Therefore, Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Julius Baer Gruppe AG was 3.22. The lowest was 0.52. And the median was 1.07.

XSWX:BAER's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.92
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Julius Baer Gruppe AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Julius Baer Gruppe AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Julius Baer Gruppe AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -19.10 33.99 52.32 55.88 -22.33

Julius Baer Gruppe AG Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.32 - 55.88 - -22.33

Competitive Comparison of Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Asset Management subindustry, Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Julius Baer Gruppe AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = CHF-979.69.

Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.7180950547477*-979.68571428571+6161.3*0.8)/205.636
=-22.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Julius Baer Gruppe AG  (XSWX:BAER) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Julius Baer Gruppe AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=49.11/-22.328964263101
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Julius Baer Gruppe AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Julius Baer Gruppe AG (XSWX:BAER) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Bahnhofstrasse 36, Zurich, CHE, 8010
Julius Baer was founded in 1890 and expanded significantly in 2005 when it acquired three Swiss private banks and Global Asset Management from its far larger Swiss rival, UBS. In 2009, Baer spun off GAM as a separately listed firm. The acquisition of Merrill Lynch's wealth management operations outside of the U.S. in 2012 increased Baer's assets under management by 40% and increased its footprint outside of Europe. Julius Baer is currently the largest pure-play private bank in Switzerland and the third-largest Swiss private bank. Baer provides private banking services principally to individuals in Switzerland and Europe and increasingly in Asia and other emerging markets.