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Continental AG (XTER:CON) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €111.13 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Continental AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Continental AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €111.13. The stock price of Continental AG is €62.50. Therefore, Continental AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Continental AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:CON' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 0.77   Max: 1.3
Current: 0.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Continental AG was 1.30. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 0.77.

XTER:CON's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
75.56% of 892 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs XTER:CON: 0.56

Continental AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Continental AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Continental AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Continental AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 167.00 138.10 126.58 113.07 111.13

Continental AG Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 113.07 99.87 96.17 101.15 111.13

Competitive Comparison of Continental AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Continental AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Continental AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Continental AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Continental AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Continental AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Continental AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €1,190.02.

Continental AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1190.016+13675.9*0.8)/200.404
=111.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Continental AG  (XTER:CON) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Continental AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=62.50/111.12597914624
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Continental AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Continental AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Continental AG (XTER:CON) Business Description

Address
Vahrenwalder Strasse 9, Hanover, NI, DEU, 30165
Continental is a global auto supplier and tiremaker. Operating segments include the automotive group (electrical architecture and networking, autonomous mobility, safety and motion, smart mobility, and user experience), tires, and ContiTech which uses rubber in industrial and automotive components and systems. Last year, automotive group revenue was around 48% of the total, tire was 35%, ContiTech was 16%, and contract manufacturing for Vitesco was 1%. Top five customers include Ford, Mercedes-Benz, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance, Stellantis, and Volkswagen, representing about 32% of total revenue. Europe, at 47% of total revenue, is the companies largest market, followed by North America at 27%, Asia (mostly China) at 22%, and 4% in other regions.
Executives
Christian Koetz Board of Directors
Katja Dürrfeld Board of Directors
Philip Nelles Board of Directors
Nikolai Setzer Board of Directors
Dr. Ariane Reinhart Board of Directors
Frank Jourdan Board of Directors
Helmut Matschi Board of Directors
Andreas Wolf Board of Directors

Continental AG (XTER:CON) Headlines

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