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Amcor (AMCR) Beneish M-Score : -2.70 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Amcor Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.7 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amcor's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMCR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.8   Med: -2.53   Max: 0.54
Current: -2.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Amcor was 0.54. The lowest was -2.80. And the median was -2.53.


Amcor Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amcor's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amcor Beneish M-Score Chart

Amcor Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.53 -2.48 -2.55 -2.54

Amcor Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.51 -2.54 -2.64 -2.70

Competitive Comparison of Amcor's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Amcor's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amcor's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amcor's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amcor's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Amcor Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Amcor for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9845+0.528 * 1.0058+0.404 * 1.046+0.892 * 0.9374+0.115 * 1.0001
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0491+4.679 * -0.032283-0.327 * 1.0239
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,820 Mil.
Revenue was 3251 + 3443 + 3673 + 3667 = $14,034 Mil.
Gross Profit was 621 + 645 + 722 + 673 = $2,661 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,959 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,727 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,377 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $597 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,247 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,970 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,506 Mil.
Net Income was 134 + 152 + 180 + 177 = $643 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -23 + -29 + -61 + -48 = $-161 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 363 + -135 + 932 + 184 = $1,344 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,972 Mil.
Revenue was 3642 + 3712 + 3909 + 3708 = $14,971 Mil.
Gross Profit was 662 + 668 + 794 + 731 = $2,855 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,863 Mil.
Total Assets was $17,475 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,230 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $577 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,268 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,393 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,316 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1820 / 14034) / (1972 / 14971)
=0.129685 / 0.131721
=0.9845

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2855 / 14971) / (2661 / 14034)
=0.190702 / 0.189611
=1.0058

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4959 + 4377) / 16727) / (1 - (5863 + 4230) / 17475)
=0.44186 / 0.422432
=1.046

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14034 / 14971
=0.9374

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(577 / (577 + 4230)) / (597 / (597 + 4377))
=0.120033 / 0.120024
=1.0001

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1247 / 14034) / (1268 / 14971)
=0.088856 / 0.084697
=1.0491

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7506 + 3970) / 16727) / ((7316 + 4393) / 17475)
=0.686076 / 0.670043
=1.0239

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(643 - -161 - 1344) / 16727
=-0.032283

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Amcor has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Amcor (AMCR) Business Description

Address
83 Tower Road North, Warmley, Bristol, GBR, BS30 8XP
Amcor is a global manufacturer of flexible and rigid plastic packaging and provides packaging solutions to the food, beverage, pharmaceuticals, medical, household, personal care, and industrials sectors. Operations span more than 40 countries and over 200 locations. Around half of group sales are derived from North America, one quarter from Europe, and the remainder from emerging markets. Amcor operates two distinct businesses: flexibles and rigids. Flexibles accounts for about 80% of earnings and produces plastic, aluminium, and fibre-based packaging. Rigids accounts for about 20% of earnings and consists primarily of hot-fill and cold-fill polyethylene terephthalate bottling solutions in the North American and Latin American markets.
Executives
Arun Nayar director 9 MARSHAL LANE, WESTON CT 06883
Nicholas T. Long director C/O 9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
Andrea E. Bertone director C/O CORP. SECRETARY, PEABODY ENERGY CORP, 701 MARKET STREET, ST. LOUIS MO 63101
Foufopoulos - De Ridder Lucrece director 83 TOWER ROAD NORTH, WARMLEY, BRISTOL X0 BS30 8XP
Ian Wilson officer: Executive Vice President C/O AMCOR PLC, 83 TOWER ROAD NORTH, WARMLEY, BRISTOL X0 BS308XP
Louis Fred Stephan officer: President, Amcor Flexibles NA 2301 INDUSTRIAL DRIVE, NEENAH WI 54956
Ronald Stephen Delia officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O AMCOR PLC, 83 TOWER ROAD NORTH, WARMLEY, BRISTOL X0 BS308XP
Michael J Zacka officer: President, Amcor Flex Europe 83 TOWER ROAD NORTH, WARMLEY, BRISTOL X0 BS30 8XP
Eric V Roegner officer: President,Amcor Rigid Plastics ARCONIC INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608
Julie Marie Sorrells officer: V.P. & Corporate Controller 83 TOWER ROAD NORTH, WARMLEY BRISTOL X0 BS30 8XP
Michael Casamento officer: Executive VP, Finance & CFO C/O AMCOR PLC, 83 TOWER ROAD NORTH, WARMLEY, BRISTOL X0 BS308XP
Gonzalez Susana Suarez officer: Ex. VP & Chief Human Resources 521 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Deborah Rasin officer: General Counsel TWO PRUDENTIAL PLAZA, SUITE 4100, CHICAGO IL 60601
Achal Agarwal director P.O. BOX 61900, DALLAS TX 75261-9100
Susan K Carter director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY, 800-E BEATY STREET, DAVIDSON NC 28036

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