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Ventia Services Group (ASX:VNT) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Ventia Services Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:VNT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.65   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.65
Current: -2.65

During the past 3 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ventia Services Group was -2.65. The lowest was -2.65. And the median was -2.65.


Ventia Services Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ventia Services Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Ventia Services Group Annual Data
Trend Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.65

Ventia Services Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score - - - - -2.65

Competitive Comparison of Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ventia Services Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ventia Services Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ventia Services Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9411+0.528 * 1.0042+0.404 * 0.929+0.892 * 1.0985+0.115 * 1.0223
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.005+4.679 * -0.040803-0.327 * 0.971
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$848 Mil.
Revenue was A$5,676 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$5,251 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,303 Mil.
Total Assets was A$2,934 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$267 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$146 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$4,625 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,239 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$833 Mil.
Net Income was A$190 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$4 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$306 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$820 Mil.
Revenue was A$5,168 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$4,800 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,147 Mil.
Total Assets was A$2,859 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$281 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$159 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$4,189 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,248 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$832 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(847.7 / 5676.4) / (820 / 5167.5)
=0.149338 / 0.158684
=0.9411

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4800.3 / 5167.5) / (5251.1 / 5676.4)
=0.92894 / 0.925076
=1.0042

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1303.4 + 266.7) / 2933.6) / (1 - (1147.2 + 281.4) / 2859)
=0.464787 / 0.500315
=0.929

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5676.4 / 5167.5
=1.0985

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(159.1 / (159.1 + 281.4)) / (145.7 / (145.7 + 266.7))
=0.36118 / 0.353298
=1.0223

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4624.8 / 5676.4) / (4189.4 / 5167.5)
=0.814742 / 0.810721
=1.005

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((833.1 + 1239.2) / 2933.6) / ((831.5 + 1248.4) / 2859)
=0.706402 / 0.727492
=0.971

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(189.8 - 3.6 - 305.9) / 2933.6
=-0.040803

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ventia Services Group has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ventia Services Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ventia Services Group (ASX:VNT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
80 Pacific Highway, Level 8, North Sydney, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2060
While Ventia is not the largest player with an estimated 7.5% share of addressable markets, it is a leading infrastructure maintenance services provider in Australia and New Zealand. Its capabilities span the full asset lifecycle including operations and maintenance, facilities management, minor capital works, environmental services, and other solutions. And its business model is favorably capital-light via flexing of a large contractor base complementing a deep pool of talented employees. Ventia has long-term relationships with a diverse range of public and private sector clients with many client relationships maintained for decades. Contracts are favorably long with an average five-year duration at inception and most containing some form of embedded price escalation.