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Westpac Banking (ASX:WBCPE.PFD) Beneish M-Score : -2.27 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Westpac Banking Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.27 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Westpac Banking's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:WBCPE.PFD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.1
Current: -2.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Westpac Banking was -2.10. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.61.


Westpac Banking Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Westpac Banking for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.103+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0081+0.892 * 1.0476+0.115 * 1.1098
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9746+4.679 * 0.017471-0.327 * 1.0824
=-2.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$2,623.00 Mil.
Revenue was A$21,380.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$21,380.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$179,493.00 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,029,774.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$2,245.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,237.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$6,187.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$29,796.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$167,062.00 Mil.
Net Income was A$7,195.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$-10,796.00 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$2,270.00 Mil.
Revenue was A$20,409.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$20,409.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$183,288.00 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,014,198.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$2,429.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,581.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$6,060.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$32,254.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$146,870.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2623 / 21380) / (2270 / 20409)
=0.122685 / 0.111225
=1.103

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(20409 / 20409) / (21380 / 21380)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (179493 + 2245) / 1029774) / (1 - (183288 + 2429) / 1014198)
=0.823517 / 0.816883
=1.0081

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21380 / 20409
=1.0476

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1581 / (1581 + 2429)) / (1237 / (1237 + 2245))
=0.394264 / 0.355256
=1.1098

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6187 / 21380) / (6060 / 20409)
=0.289383 / 0.296928
=0.9746

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((167062 + 29796) / 1029774) / ((146870 + 32254) / 1014198)
=0.191166 / 0.176616
=1.0824

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7195 - 0 - -10796) / 1029774
=0.017471

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Westpac Banking has a M-score of -2.27 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Westpac Banking Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Westpac Banking (ASX:WBCPE.PFD) Business Description

Address
275 Kent Street, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Westpac is Australia's oldest bank and financial services group, with a significant franchise in Australia and New Zealand in the consumer, small business, corporate, and institutional sectors, in addition to its major presence in wealth management. Westpac is among a handful of banks around the globe currently retaining very high credit ratings. The bank benefits from a large national branch network and significant market share, particularly in home loans and retail deposits.