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Carrier Global (BSP:C1RR34) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Carrier Global Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:C1RR34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.67

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carrier Global was -2.23. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.62.


Carrier Global Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carrier Global Beneish M-Score Chart

Carrier Global Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -3.24 -2.79 -2.25 -3.06

Carrier Global Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.54 -2.72 -3.06 -2.67

Competitive Comparison of Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carrier Global's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Carrier Global Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carrier Global for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8902+0.528 * 0.9039+0.404 * 1.2256+0.892 * 1.037+0.115 * 0.829
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2362+4.679 * -0.025983-0.327 * 1.0574
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$17,310 Mil.
Revenue was 30785.124 + 24998.78 + 28303.69 + 29083.37 = R$113,171 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8490.559 + 7026.313 + 8968.679 + 8518.244 = R$33,004 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$58,338 Mil.
Total Assets was R$203,226 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$18,983 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$3,552 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$17,528 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$43,011 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$80,434 Mil.
Net Income was 1339.566 + 2057.916 + 1763.116 + 965.886 = R$6,126 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 19.919 + 1489.539 + -903.782 + -1606.575 = R$-1,001 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 199.192 + 5203.588 + 5141.187 + 1863.821 = R$12,408 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$18,751 Mil.
Revenue was 27464.948 + 26777.767 + 28582.864 + 26303.565 = R$109,129 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7177.451 + 6541.014 + 7744.797 + 7304.022 = R$28,767 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$52,909 Mil.
Total Assets was R$137,564 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$15,115 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$2,272 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$13,672 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$31,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$47,992 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(17309.785 / 113170.964) / (18750.96 / 109129.144)
=0.152953 / 0.171824
=0.8902

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(28767.284 / 109129.144) / (33003.795 / 113170.964)
=0.263608 / 0.291628
=0.9039

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (58338.357 + 18982.998) / 203225.638) / (1 - (52908.959 + 15115.357) / 137564.335)
=0.61953 / 0.505509
=1.2256

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=113170.964 / 109129.144
=1.037

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2272.026 / (2272.026 + 15115.357)) / (3551.873 / (3551.873 + 18982.998))
=0.130671 / 0.157617
=0.829

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(17528.072 / 113170.964) / (13672.388 / 109129.144)
=0.154881 / 0.125286
=1.2362

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((80433.73 + 43010.533) / 203225.638) / ((47992.04 + 31032.839) / 137564.335)
=0.607425 / 0.574458
=1.0574

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6126.484 - -1000.899 - 12407.788) / 203225.638
=-0.025983

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carrier Global has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Carrier Global Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Carrier Global (BSP:C1RR34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
13995 Pasteur Boulevard, Palm Beach Gardens, FL, USA, 33418
Carrier Global manufactures heating, ventilation, and air conditioning, refrigeration, and fire and security products. The HVAC business serves both residential and commercial markets (HVAC segment sales mix is 60% commercial and 40% residential). Carrier's refrigeration segment consists of its transportation refrigeration, Sensitech supply chain monitoring, and commercial refrigeration businesses. The firm's fire and security business manufactures fire detection and suppression, access controls, and intrusion detection products. In April 2023, Carrier announced that it plans to divest its fire and security and commercial refrigeration businesses. The firm also announced the pending acquisition of Germany-based Viessmann for approximately $13 billion.

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