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Yum China Holdings (FRA:0YU) Beneish M-Score : -2.51 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:0YU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.51   Max: -1.81
Current: -2.51

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Yum China Holdings was -1.81. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.51.


Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Yum China Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.24 -2.45 -2.70 -1.81 -2.51

Yum China Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.81 -2.05 -3.27 -2.47 -2.51

Competitive Comparison of Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yum China Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Yum China Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0423+0.528 * 0.8726+0.404 * 1.1222+0.892 * 1.1176+0.115 * 1.3405
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9362+4.679 * -0.048084-0.327 * 1.0429
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €260 Mil.
Revenue was 2286.081 + 2730.418 + 2449.642 + 2724.478 = €10,191 Mil.
Gross Profit was 283.353 + 488.177 + 413.504 + 566.938 = €1,752 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,146 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,032 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,177 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €420 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €592 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,221 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,782 Mil.
Net Income was 88.949 + 228.628 + 181.831 + 269.926 = €769 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -25.676 + -3.748 + -23.075 + -17.746 = €-70 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 127.463 + 384.17 + 384.891 + 473.538 = €1,370 Mil.
Total Receivables was €223 Mil.
Revenue was 1971.072 + 2711.85 + 2013.088 + 2422.544 = €9,119 Mil.
Gross Profit was 230.336 + 524.19 + 262.988 + 350.488 = €1,368 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,719 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,164 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,100 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €573 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €566 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,045 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,839 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(259.511 / 10190.619) / (222.784 / 9118.554)
=0.025466 / 0.024432
=1.0423

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1368.002 / 9118.554) / (1751.972 / 10190.619)
=0.150024 / 0.17192
=0.8726

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3146.227 + 4176.935) / 11032.427) / (1 - (3719.36 + 4099.792) / 11163.744)
=0.336215 / 0.299594
=1.1222

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10190.619 / 9118.554
=1.1176

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(572.59 / (572.59 + 4099.792)) / (420.265 / (420.265 + 4176.935))
=0.122548 / 0.091418
=1.3405

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(592.115 / 10190.619) / (565.944 / 9118.554)
=0.058104 / 0.062065
=0.9362

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1781.731 + 2220.974) / 11032.427) / ((1838.912 + 2044.704) / 11163.744)
=0.362813 / 0.347878
=1.0429

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(769.334 - -70.245 - 1370.062) / 11032.427
=-0.048084

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Yum China Holdings has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Yum China Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Yum China Holdings (FRA:0YU) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Tian Yao Qiao Road, Yum China Building, Shanghai, CHN, 200030
With almost 13,000 units and USD 10 billion in systemwide sales in 2022, Yum China is the largest restaurant chain in China. It generates revenue through its own restaurants and franchise fees. Key concepts include KFC (9,094 units) and Pizza Hut (2,903), but the company's portfolio also includes other brands such as Little Sheep, East Dawning, Taco Bell, Huang Ji Huang, COFFii & Joy, and Lavazza (collectively representing about 950 units). Yum China is a trademark licensee of Yum Brands, paying 3% of total systemwide sales to the company it separated from in October 2016.

Yum China Holdings (FRA:0YU) Headlines

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