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Red Trail Energy LLC (Red Trail Energy LLC) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Red Trail Energy LLC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

REGX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.67   Med: -2.84   Max: 2.46
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Red Trail Energy LLC was 2.46. The lowest was -6.67. And the median was -2.84.


Red Trail Energy LLC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Red Trail Energy LLC Beneish M-Score Chart

Red Trail Energy LLC Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.21 -4.38 -3.37 -1.06 -1.70

Red Trail Energy LLC Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 0.09 2.46 -1.70 -2.85

Competitive Comparison of Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score

For the Chemicals subindustry, Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Red Trail Energy LLC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Red Trail Energy LLC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Red Trail Energy LLC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9344+0.528 * 0.9991+0.404 * 1.1923+0.892 * 0.9891+0.115 * 0.706
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5038+4.679 * -0.045641-0.327 * 1.1291
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $5.0 Mil.
Revenue was 43.456 + 50.825 + 49.691 + 54.653 = $198.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3.103 + 6.05 + 1.652 + 0.963 = $11.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $43.8 Mil.
Total Assets was $127.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $76.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $6.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $26.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $21.8 Mil.
Net Income was 2.161 + 4.359 + 0.136 + -0.799 = $5.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.455 + 0.223 + 0.044 + 0.044 = $0.8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 7.384 + 8.57 + 7.632 + -12.671 = $10.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was $5.4 Mil.
Revenue was 44.498 + 48.91 + 55.72 + 51.678 = $200.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3.389 + -3.019 + 6.438 + 5.079 = $11.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $46.1 Mil.
Total Assets was $131.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $79.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $21.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $22.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5 / 198.625) / (5.41 / 200.806)
=0.025173 / 0.026941
=0.9344

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11.887 / 200.806) / (11.768 / 198.625)
=0.059196 / 0.059247
=0.9991

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (43.813 + 76.419) / 127.605) / (1 - (46.083 + 79.189) / 131.652)
=0.05778 / 0.048461
=1.1923

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=198.625 / 200.806
=0.9891

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4.535 / (4.535 + 79.189)) / (6.35 / (6.35 + 76.419))
=0.054166 / 0.07672
=0.706

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5.868 / 198.625) / (3.945 / 200.806)
=0.029543 / 0.019646
=1.5038

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21.842 + 26.254) / 127.605) / ((22.524 + 21.422) / 131.652)
=0.376913 / 0.333804
=1.1291

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5.857 - 0.766 - 10.915) / 127.605
=-0.045641

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Red Trail Energy LLC has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Red Trail Energy LLC Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Red Trail Energy LLC (Red Trail Energy LLC) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3682 Highway 8 South, P.O. Box 11, Richardton, ND, USA, 58652
Red Trail Energy LLC is USA based firm engaged in constructing, owning, and operating a fuel-grade ethanol plant near Richardton, North Dakota in western North Dakota. The company's product offering includes ethanol, distillers' grains, and corn oil.
Executives
Jodi Marie Johnson officer: Chief Financial Officer PO BOX 513, MEDORA ND 58645
Anthony Lee Mock director 5665 22ND AVE SE, KINTYRE ND 58549
Kent Wayne Anderson officer: Chief Financial Officer 1767 PRAIRIE AVENUE, DICKINSON ND 58601
Calvin Diehl officer: Chief Executive Officer 3682 HIGHWAY 8 SOUTH, P O BOX 11, RICHARDTON ND 58652
Gerald Bachmeier officer: Interim Chief Executive Office 20897 467TH AVE, MORRIS MN 56267
Sidney A Mauch director 712 WYNDEMERE DRIVE, WEST FARGO ND 58078
Mike Appert director 755 HIGHWAY 34, HAZELTON ND 58544
William Price director 2273 RIVER ROAD, PRICE ND 58530
Jody Hoff director 8601 HIGHWAY 10 EAST, RICHARDTON ND 58652
Mark Klempel officer: Chief Financial Officer 3682 HIGHWAY 8 SOUTH, RICHARDTON ND 58652
Mick J Miller officer: President 3682 HIGHWAY 8 SOUTH, RICHARDTON ND 58652
Roger N Berglund director 104 9TH AVENUE NW, BOWMAN ND 58623
Frank Kirschenheiter director 322 12TH AVENUE WEST, RICHARDTON ND 58652
Tim Meuchel director 510 MAIN AVENUE, HEBRON ND 58638
Bonnie G Eckelberg officer: Chief Financial Officer 3682 HIGHWAY 8 SOUTH, RICHARDTON ND 58652

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