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Cathay Pacific Airways (HKSE:00293) Beneish M-Score : -2.72 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Cathay Pacific Airways Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00293' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.27   Med: -2.98   Max: -1.72
Current: -2.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cathay Pacific Airways was -1.72. The lowest was -4.27. And the median was -2.98.


Cathay Pacific Airways Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cathay Pacific Airways Beneish M-Score Chart

Cathay Pacific Airways Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.02 -3.39 -4.27 -3.70 -2.72

Cathay Pacific Airways Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.27 - -3.70 - -2.72

Competitive Comparison of Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cathay Pacific Airways's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cathay Pacific Airways Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cathay Pacific Airways for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5552+0.528 * 0.7141+0.404 * 1.0261+0.892 * 1.8513+0.115 * 0.9692
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.095448-0.327 * 1.0135
=-2.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$5,999 Mil.
Revenue was HK$94,485 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$20,700 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$22,749 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$174,115 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$116,088 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$12,324 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$45,493 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$57,771 Mil.
Net Income was HK$9,789 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$26,408 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$5,836 Mil.
Revenue was HK$51,036 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$7,984 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$26,336 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$180,914 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$118,855 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$12,189 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$43,402 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$62,463 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5999 / 94485) / (5836 / 51036)
=0.063492 / 0.114351
=0.5552

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7984 / 51036) / (20700 / 94485)
=0.156439 / 0.219082
=0.7141

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (22749 + 116088) / 174115) / (1 - (26336 + 118855) / 180914)
=0.202613 / 0.197458
=1.0261

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=94485 / 51036
=1.8513

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12189 / (12189 + 118855)) / (12324 / (12324 + 116088))
=0.093015 / 0.095972
=0.9692

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 94485) / (0 / 51036)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((57771 + 45493) / 174115) / ((62463 + 43402) / 180914)
=0.593079 / 0.585168
=1.0135

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(9789 - 0 - 26408) / 174115
=-0.095448

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cathay Pacific Airways has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cathay Pacific Airways Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cathay Pacific Airways (HKSE:00293) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
88 Queensway, 33rd Floor, One Pacific Place, Hong Kong, HKG
Cathay Pacific Airways is the largest airline group in Hong Kong. It operated a fleet of 222 aircraft as of December 2022 and carried more than 35 million passengers in 2019. Its route network extends to 119 destinations in 35 countries. The group operates the full-service airline Cathay Pacific and the low-cost carrier HK Express. It also runs the cargo carrier Air Hong Kong.

Cathay Pacific Airways (HKSE:00293) Headlines

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