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China Gas Holdings (HKSE:00384) Beneish M-Score : -2.58 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is China Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00384' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.84   Med: -2.18   Max: -1.7
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Gas Holdings was -1.70. The lowest was -2.84. And the median was -2.18.


China Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

China Gas Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.70 -2.28 -2.15 -2.14 -2.58

China Gas Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.14 - -2.58 -

Competitive Comparison of China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Gas Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Gas Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8548+0.528 * 1.3636+0.404 * 1.0182+0.892 * 1.0427+0.115 * 0.9
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0033+4.679 * -0.036453-0.327 * 1.0538
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$27,009 Mil.
Revenue was HK$91,988 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$12,035 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$52,220 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$157,291 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$71,026 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,812 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$6,104 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$51,780 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$39,279 Mil.
Net Income was HK$4,293 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$10,027 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$30,304 Mil.
Revenue was HK$88,225 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$15,739 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$55,423 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$163,146 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$73,044 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$2,593 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$5,835 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$54,287 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$35,343 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(27008.524 / 91988.445) / (30303.88 / 88225.193)
=0.293608 / 0.343483
=0.8548

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(15738.992 / 88225.193) / (12034.675 / 91988.445)
=0.178396 / 0.130828
=1.3636

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (52220.439 + 71026.385) / 157291.209) / (1 - (55423.372 + 73043.98) / 163146.352)
=0.216442 / 0.212564
=1.0182

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=91988.445 / 88225.193
=1.0427

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2592.543 / (2592.543 + 73043.98)) / (2812.164 / (2812.164 + 71026.385))
=0.034276 / 0.038085
=0.9

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6103.585 / 91988.445) / (5834.578 / 88225.193)
=0.066352 / 0.066133
=1.0033

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((39278.528 + 51780.203) / 157291.209) / ((35342.609 + 54287.148) / 163146.352)
=0.578918 / 0.549383
=1.0538

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4293.484 - 0 - 10027.284) / 157291.209
=-0.036453

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Gas Holdings has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Gas Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Gas Holdings (HKSE:00384) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
151 Gloucester Road, Room 1601, 16th Floor, Capital Centre, Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Gas Holdings is involved in the wholesale and retail businesses of natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas in China. As of fiscal 2023 (ended March 31, 2023), the group had secured a total of 661 piped gas concessions, 533 compressed natural gas/liquefied natural gas refilling stations for vehicles, and 106 LPG distribution projects in China. In total, CGH has connected 45.4 million residential households and achieved a penetration rate of 68.6%.

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