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Water Oasis Group (HKSE:01161) Beneish M-Score : -3.07 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Water Oasis Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01161' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.89   Max: -1.61
Current: -3.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Water Oasis Group was -1.61. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.89.


Water Oasis Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Water Oasis Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Water Oasis Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 -3.16 -1.61 -3.22 -3.07

Water Oasis Group Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.61 - -3.22 - -3.07

Competitive Comparison of Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Personal Services subindustry, Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Personal Services Industry

For the Personal Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Water Oasis Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Water Oasis Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Water Oasis Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8978+0.528 * 0.9729+0.404 * 1.0166+0.892 * 1.1599+0.115 * 0.9531
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.872+4.679 * -0.138824-0.327 * 0.9858
=-3.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$49.2 Mil.
Revenue was HK$976.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$880.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$426.2 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,222.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$427.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$161.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$27.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$735.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$159.2 Mil.
Net Income was HK$110.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$280.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$47.2 Mil.
Revenue was HK$841.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$738.9 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$412.9 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$1,261.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$473.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$167.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$26.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$751.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$184.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(49.192 / 976.572) / (47.24 / 841.936)
=0.050372 / 0.056109
=0.8978

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(738.905 / 841.936) / (880.919 / 976.572)
=0.877626 / 0.902052
=0.9729

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (426.156 + 427.243) / 1222.76) / (1 - (412.921 + 473.501) / 1261.16)
=0.302072 / 0.297138
=1.0166

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=976.572 / 841.936
=1.1599

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(167.419 / (167.419 + 473.501)) / (161.304 / (161.304 + 427.243))
=0.261217 / 0.274072
=0.9531

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(27.079 / 976.572) / (26.774 / 841.936)
=0.027729 / 0.031801
=0.872

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((159.192 + 735.448) / 1222.76) / ((184.855 + 751.209) / 1261.16)
=0.731656 / 0.742225
=0.9858

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(110.32 - 0 - 280.069) / 1222.76
=-0.138824

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Water Oasis Group has a M-score of -3.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Water Oasis Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Water Oasis Group (HKSE:01161) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
280 Gloucester Road, Causeway Bay, 18th Floor, World Trade Centre, Hong Kong, HKG
Water Oasis Group Ltd provides beauty and related wellness services. It provides general, specialist, and medical beauty services to high-end, mid-range, and mass-market consumer sectors for men and women. The firm operates through two business segments. The Product segment is mainly engaged in the retailing of skincare products under the brand names of h2o+, Erno Laszlo, and Glycel. The Services segment is engaged in the provision of services in beauty centers, spas, and medical beauty centers mainly under the brand names of Oasis Spa, Oasis Beauty, and Oasis Homme. It generates a majority of its revenue from the service segment. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Hong Kong and Macau.

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