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PDD Holdings (PDD Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -1.90 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PDD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.36   Max: 2.1
Current: -1.9

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PDD Holdings was 2.10. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.36.


PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

PDD Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.85 -2.33 -2.38 -2.78 -1.90

PDD Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.80 -2.35 -2.10 -1.90

Competitive Comparison of PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PDD Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PDD Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8355+0.528 * 1.2026+0.404 * 1.8217+0.892 * 1.8029+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.781+4.679 * -0.1049-0.327 * 0.9178
=-1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,588 Mil.
Revenue was 12447.976 + 9432.901 + 7300.353 + 5461.848 = $34,643 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7535.19 + 5756.469 + 4690.558 + 3847.359 = $21,830 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $41,280 Mil.
Total Assets was $48,749 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $712 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $12,092 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $21,414 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,103 Mil.
Net Income was 3260.456 + 2128.985 + 1830.38 + 1175.612 = $8,395 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 18.121 + 52.788 + 176.249 + 175.809 = $423 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5166.616 + 4458.523 + 3266.956 + 194.172 = $13,086 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,055 Mil.
Revenue was 5711.667 + 5057.953 + 4695.837 + 3750.227 = $19,216 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4431.247 + 4001.734 + 3506.647 + 2621.772 = $14,561 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $31,071 Mil.
Total Assets was $34,012 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $353 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,589 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $16,766 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $351 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1588.497 / 34643.078) / (1054.623 / 19215.684)
=0.045853 / 0.054883
=0.8355

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(14561.4 / 19215.684) / (21829.576 / 34643.078)
=0.757787 / 0.630128
=1.2026

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (41280.422 + 712.093) / 48749.071) / (1 - (31071.027 + 352.988) / 34011.784)
=0.138599 / 0.076084
=1.8217

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=34643.078 / 19215.684
=1.8029

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 352.988)) / (0 / (0 + 712.093))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(12092.411 / 34643.078) / (8588.551 / 19215.684)
=0.349057 / 0.446955
=0.781

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1103.02 + 21414.092) / 48749.071) / ((350.924 + 16766.281) / 34011.784)
=0.461898 / 0.503273
=0.9178

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8395.433 - 422.967 - 13086.267) / 48749.071
=-0.1049

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PDD Holdings has a M-score of -1.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PDD Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PDD Holdings (PDD Holdings) Business Description

Address
First Floor, 25 St Stephen’s Green, Dublin 2,, Dublin 2, IRL, D02 XF99
PDD Holdings (Nasdaq: PDD) is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. PDD Holdings aims to bring more businesses and people into the digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfilment capabilities, that support its underlying businesses.