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Carpenter Technology (Carpenter Technology) Beneish M-Score : -2.60 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Carpenter Technology Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.6 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CRS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.01   Med: -2.53   Max: 114.12
Current: -2.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carpenter Technology was 114.12. The lowest was -3.01. And the median was -2.53.


Carpenter Technology Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carpenter Technology Beneish M-Score Chart

Carpenter Technology Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.92 114.12 -2.85 -2.29

Carpenter Technology Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.52 -2.24 -2.29 -2.40 -2.60

Competitive Comparison of Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carpenter Technology's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Carpenter Technology Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carpenter Technology for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9105+0.528 * 0.6505+0.404 * 0.9731+0.892 * 1.2644+0.115 * 0.9692
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9608+4.679 * -0.020068-0.327 * 0.9487
=-2.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $508 Mil.
Revenue was 624.2 + 651.9 + 758.2 + 690.1 = $2,724 Mil.
Gross Profit was 122.6 + 124.1 + 119.1 + 93.5 = $459 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,410 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,159 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,364 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $133 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $218 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $486 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $694 Mil.
Net Income was 42.7 + 43.9 + 38.4 + 18.6 = $144 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1.7 + -4.2 + 9.3 + -0.9 = $6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 14.5 + 7.4 + 174.9 + 4.3 = $201 Mil.
Total Receivables was $442 Mil.
Revenue was 579.1 + 522.9 + 563.7 + 489 = $2,155 Mil.
Gross Profit was 70 + 54.8 + 72 + 39.5 = $236 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,283 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,057 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,391 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $131 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $180 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $510 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $692 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(508.4 / 2724.4) / (441.6 / 2154.7)
=0.18661 / 0.204947
=0.9105

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(236.3 / 2154.7) / (459.3 / 2724.4)
=0.109667 / 0.168588
=0.6505

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1410.2 + 1364.2) / 3159.2) / (1 - (1283.4 + 1390.5) / 3056.5)
=0.121803 / 0.125176
=0.9731

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2724.4 / 2154.7
=1.2644

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(130.9 / (130.9 + 1390.5)) / (132.9 / (132.9 + 1364.2))
=0.086039 / 0.088772
=0.9692

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(218.3 / 2724.4) / (179.7 / 2154.7)
=0.080128 / 0.083399
=0.9608

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((693.6 + 485.7) / 3159.2) / ((692.4 + 510.3) / 3056.5)
=0.373291 / 0.393489
=0.9487

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(143.6 - 5.9 - 201.1) / 3159.2
=-0.020068

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carpenter Technology has a M-score of -2.60 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Carpenter Technology Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Carpenter Technology (Carpenter Technology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1735 Market Street, 15th Floor, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19103
Carpenter Technology Corp supplies specialty metals to a variety of end markets, including aerospace and defense, industrial machinery and consumer durables, medical, and energy, among others. The company's segment includes Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. It generates maximum revenue from the Specialty Alloys Operations segment. The SAO segment is comprised of the company's major premium alloy and stainless steel manufacturing operations. This includes operations performed at mills primarily in Reading and Latrobe, Pennsylvania, and surrounding areas as well as South Carolina and Alabama.
Executives
Mclane Charles Douglas Jr director C/O CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, 1735 MARKET STREET, 15TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Steven E Karol director C/O STOCKERYALE INC, 32 HAMPSHIRE RD, SALEM NH 03079
Marshall D Akins officer: VP & Chief Commercial Officer CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, 1735 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Brian J Malloy officer: VP - Chief Commercial Officer C/O CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, 1735 MARKET STREET, 15TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Pritchett Colleen director C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Elizabeth A Socci officer: VP, Controller & Chf Acctg Off C/O CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, 1735 MARKET STREET, 15TH FL, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Kathy Hopinkah Hannan director ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Ramin Younessi director 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
David Graf officer: VP and Group President - SAO C/O CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, 1735 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Kathleen Ligocki director 3296 PINE LAKE ROAD, WEST BLOOMFIELD MI 48324
Timothy Lain officer: VP-Controller, Chf Acctg Ofcr C/O CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, PO BOX 14662, READING PA 19612
James D Dee officer: VP, Gen Counsel & Secretary TWO PITCAIRN PLACE, SUITE 200, 165 TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD, JENKINTOWN PA 19046
Tony R Thene officer: Sr VP and CFO ALCOA INC., 201 ISABELLA STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15212-5858
Robert R Mcmaster director 907-B EAST MAIN STREET, HUMBLE TX 77338-4662
Gregory A Pratt director 7500 GREENWAY CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1600, 7500 GREENWAY CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1600, GREENBELT MD 20770

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