GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Party City Holdco Inc (OTCPK:PRTYQ) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Party City Holdco (Party City Holdco) Beneish M-Score : 0.00 (As of May. 11, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

What is Party City Holdco Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Party City Holdco was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.


Party City Holdco Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Party City Holdco Beneish M-Score Chart

Party City Holdco Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.41 -2.38 -1.65 -2.80

Party City Holdco Quarterly Data
Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.80 -2.53 -2.07 -1.98

Competitive Comparison of Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Party City Holdco Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Party City Holdco for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6686+0.528 * 2.3214+0.404 * 0.8659+0.892 * 1.0189+0.115 * 1.1595
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.4673+4.679 * 0.014453-0.327 * 1.1053
=-1.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep22) TTM:Last Year (Sep21) TTM:
Total Receivables was $107 Mil.
Revenue was 502.191 + 527.449 + 432.976 + 698.308 = $2,161 Mil.
Gross Profit was 158.448 + 177.972 + 138.008 + -217.631 = $257 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $942 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,869 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $965 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $62 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $254 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $951 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,018 Mil.
Net Income was -372.992 + 162.173 + -26.889 + -19.486 = $-257 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -130.667 + 1.8 + 0.203 + -9.084 = $-138 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -187.268 + 17.692 + -116.825 + 125.486 = $-161 Mil.
Total Receivables was $157 Mil.
Revenue was 510.199 + 535.746 + 426.807 + 648.181 = $2,121 Mil.
Gross Profit was 183.698 + 217.172 + 152.286 + 31.937 = $585 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $823 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,837 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $915 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $534 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $666 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,990 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(107.161 / 2160.924) / (157.307 / 2120.933)
=0.04959 / 0.074169
=0.6686

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(585.093 / 2120.933) / (256.797 / 2160.924)
=0.275866 / 0.118837
=2.3214

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (941.916 + 964.752) / 2869.248) / (1 - (823.097 + 914.627) / 2836.826)
=0.335482 / 0.387441
=0.8659

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2160.924 / 2120.933
=1.0189

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(69.003 / (69.003 + 914.627)) / (62.129 / (62.129 + 964.752))
=0.070151 / 0.060503
=1.1595

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(254.362 / 2160.924) / (534.239 / 2120.933)
=0.11771 / 0.251889
=0.4673

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2018.118 + 951.214) / 2869.248) / ((1990.446 + 665.634) / 2836.826)
=1.034882 / 0.936286
=1.1053

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-257.194 - -137.748 - -160.915) / 2869.248
=0.014453

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Party City Holdco has a M-score of -1.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Party City Holdco Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Party City Holdco's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Party City Holdco (Party City Holdco) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
80 Grasslands Road, Elmsford, NY, USA, 10523
Party City Holdco Inc is a party goods retailer in North America that operates owned and franchised locations in the us, Canada, and Puerto Rico. Party City also sells internationally in countries like the UK, France, Germany, and Australia, among others. The company has two primary reporting segments: retail and wholesale. The retail operations sell through Anagram, Amscan, Designware, Costumes USA, and other party suppliers, such as Party City, Halloween City, and PartyCity.com. The wholesale segment sells party goods such as paper and plastic tableware, accessories and novelties, balloons, stationery, and gift items for all occasions. These products are sold by franchise stores, mass merchants, independent card and gift shops, dollar stores, and other retailers and global distributors.
Executives
Clifford Sosin 10 percent owner 8 WRIGHT STREET, 1ST FL, WESTPORT CT 06880
John Capela officer: See Remarks 779 HIGHLAND AVENUE, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Peter Royer Smith officer: Chief Operations Officer 3438 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30326
De Mesa Graziano Cheryl officer: Chief Accounting Officer 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Steven J Collins director 29 VINTON STREET, #5, BOSTON MA 02127
William S. Creekmuir director SIX CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 3300-A, ATLANTA GA 30328
John Frascotti director C/O HASBRO, INC. 1011 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02862
Shroff Michelle Millstone director C/O PARTY CITY HOLDCO INC., 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
James M Harrison director GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD ST, NEW YORK NY 10004
Reginald Rasch officer: See Remarks 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Sean Thompson officer: See Remarks 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Sarah Dodds-brown director 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Jennifer Fleiss director 80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Joel Alsfine director 2905 PREMIERE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DULUTH GA 30097
Norman S Matthews director 650 MADISON AVENUE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

Party City Holdco (Party City Holdco) Headlines

From GuruFocus