GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Orkla ASA (OSTO:ORKo) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Orkla ASA (OSTO:ORKO) Beneish M-Score : -2.46 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

What is Orkla ASA Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.46 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:ORKo' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.71   Med: -2.49   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.46

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orkla ASA was -2.21. The lowest was -2.71. And the median was -2.49.


Orkla ASA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orkla ASA Beneish M-Score Chart

Orkla ASA Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.64 -2.41 -2.48 -2.46

Orkla ASA Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 - - - -2.46

Competitive Comparison of Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orkla ASA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orkla ASA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9671+0.528 * 1.0388+0.404 * 1.0173+0.892 * 1.1611+0.115 * 0.8852
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9853+4.679 * -0.023709-0.327 * 0.9861
=-2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr9,313 Mil.
Revenue was kr67,797 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr32,999 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr21,594 Mil.
Total Assets was kr86,592 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr20,700 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr2,986 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr5,451 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr17,049 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr17,173 Mil.
Net Income was kr5,196 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was kr7,249 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr8,294 Mil.
Revenue was kr58,391 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr29,523 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr20,966 Mil.
Total Assets was kr80,671 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr19,138 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr2,404 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr4,765 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr17,654 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr14,677 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9313 / 67797) / (8294 / 58391)
=0.137366 / 0.142042
=0.9671

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(29523 / 58391) / (32999 / 67797)
=0.505609 / 0.486732
=1.0388

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (21594 + 20700) / 86592) / (1 - (20966 + 19138) / 80671)
=0.511572 / 0.50287
=1.0173

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=67797 / 58391
=1.1611

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2404 / (2404 + 19138)) / (2986 / (2986 + 20700))
=0.111596 / 0.126066
=0.8852

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5451 / 67797) / (4765 / 58391)
=0.080402 / 0.081605
=0.9853

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17173 + 17049) / 86592) / ((14677 + 17654) / 80671)
=0.39521 / 0.400776
=0.9861

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5196 - 0 - 7249) / 86592
=-0.023709

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orkla ASA has a M-score of -2.46 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orkla ASA Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orkla ASA's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orkla ASA (OSTO:ORKO) Business Description

Address
Drammensveien 149, Oslo, NOR, NO-0277
Orkla ASA is a branded consumer goods company, originally from Norway. Its business consists of the following divisions: Orkla Foods, Orkla Confectionery and Snacks, Orkla Care, Orkla Food Ingredients, and Orkla Consumer & Financial Investments business. Orkla offers its products to the grocery sector, specialty retailers, out-of-home sectors, and the bakery market. Orkla's main geographical markets are the Nordic and Norway regions, which account for more than half of the total sales. The Orkla Group also sells some of its product categories in Central Europe and India.

Orkla ASA (OSTO:ORKO) Headlines

No Headlines