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Ashtead Group (Ashtead Group) Beneish M-Score : -2.16 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Ashtead Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASHTF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.09   Max: -1.71
Current: -2.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ashtead Group was -1.71. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.09.


Ashtead Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ashtead Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Ashtead Group Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.09 -2.64 -2.69 -2.21 -2.10

Ashtead Group Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.03 -2.10 -2.18 -2.24 -2.16

Competitive Comparison of Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ashtead Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Ashtead Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ashtead Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9997+0.528 * 0.955+0.404 * 0.9458+0.892 * 1.1476+0.115 * 1.0528
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.057762-0.327 * 1.0134
=-2.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,007 Mil.
Revenue was 2657.8 + 2877.3 + 2696.1 + 2443.7 = $10,675 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2370.9 + 2554.3 + 2392.6 + 2173.4 = $9,491 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,260 Mil.
Total Assets was $21,779 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,481 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,158 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,664 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,920 Mil.
Net Income was 332.3 + 494 + 447.4 + 346.1 = $1,620 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 40 + -15.2 + -14.4 + 351.4 = $362 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,750 Mil.
Revenue was 2427.4 + 2537.2 + 2259 + 2078.2 = $9,302 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2160.7 + 2249.8 + 1974.3 + 1513.2 = $7,898 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,022 Mil.
Total Assets was $18,049 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $12,489 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,846 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,658 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,632 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2007.2 / 10674.9) / (1749.5 / 9301.8)
=0.18803 / 0.188082
=0.9997

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7898 / 9301.8) / (9491.2 / 10674.9)
=0.849083 / 0.889114
=0.955

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2260.1 + 15480.8) / 21779.2) / (1 - (2022 + 12488.5) / 18048.8)
=0.18542 / 0.196041
=0.9458

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10674.9 / 9301.8
=1.1476

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1846 / (1846 + 12488.5)) / (2157.6 / (2157.6 + 15480.8))
=0.12878 / 0.122324
=1.0528

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 10674.9) / (0 / 9301.8)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((10919.7 + 1663.5) / 21779.2) / ((8632.3 + 1657.8) / 18048.8)
=0.577762 / 0.570127
=1.0134

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1619.8 - 0 - 361.8) / 21779.2
=0.057762

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ashtead Group has a M-score of -2.12 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Ashtead Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Ashtead Group (Ashtead Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 Cheapside, London, GBR, EC2V 6DT
Ashtead is an equipment rental business with operations in the U.S., Canada, and United Kingdom, operating under the Sunbelt Rentals brand. Earnings are mostly derived from the U.S. where Sunbelt enjoy a number-two market position with a 13% share in a highly fragmented market consisting of national, regional, and independent competitors. Ashtead rents a range of construction, industrial, and general equipment such as aerial lifts, hand-held tools, and forklifts across its more than 1,550 rental stores worldwide.

Ashtead Group (Ashtead Group) Headlines