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Swire Pacific (Swire Pacific) Beneish M-Score : -2.35 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.35 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SWRAY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.46   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Swire Pacific was -2.21. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.46.


Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Chart

Swire Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.72 -2.50 -2.43 -2.35

Swire Pacific Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 - -2.43 - -2.35

Competitive Comparison of Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Swire Pacific for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8773+0.528 * 1.0116+0.404 * 1.0082+0.892 * 1.0368+0.115 * 0.8581
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9566+4.679 * 0.042291-0.327 * 0.9788
=-2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,247 Mil.
Revenue was $12,142 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4,501 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,209 Mil.
Total Assets was $57,332 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,631 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $695 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,998 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,354 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,044 Mil.
Net Income was $3,694 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,270 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,371 Mil.
Revenue was $11,710 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4,391 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,233 Mil.
Total Assets was $55,844 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,761 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $601 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,023 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,335 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,998 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1247.279 / 12141.54) / (1371.156 / 11710.253)
=0.102728 / 0.11709
=0.8773

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4391.297 / 11710.253) / (4500.627 / 12141.54)
=0.374996 / 0.37068
=1.0116

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5209.352 + 3631.207) / 57332.07) / (1 - (5232.743 + 3760.886) / 55843.759)
=0.845801 / 0.83895
=1.0082

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12141.54 / 11710.253
=1.0368

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(601.125 / (601.125 + 3760.886)) / (694.768 / (694.768 + 3631.207))
=0.137809 / 0.160604
=0.8581

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2998.412 / 12141.54) / (3023.095 / 11710.253)
=0.246955 / 0.258158
=0.9566

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8043.612 + 5354.042) / 57332.07) / ((7998.176 + 5334.601) / 55843.759)
=0.233685 / 0.238751
=0.9788

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3694.461 - 0 - 1269.815) / 57332.07
=0.042291

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Swire Pacific has a M-score of -2.35 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Swire Pacific (Swire Pacific) Business Description

Address
88 Queensway, GPO Box 1, 33rd Floor, One Pacific Place, Hong Kong, HKG
Swire Pacific is a Hong Kong-based conglomerate with interests in property, aviation, beverage, trading, and industrials. The property division, an 82% stake in Swire Properties, contributes more than half of the group's operating profit. The beverage division is one of two Coca-Cola bottlers in mainland China and also a bottler in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Vietnam, and Cambodia. The aviation division consists of Haeco, an aircraft engineering company, and a 45% stake in Cathay Pacific. As of end June 2023, John Swire & Sons, the parent company, holds a 60% stake in Swire Pacific but has 68% of the voting rights through a dual-class share structure.

Swire Pacific (Swire Pacific) Headlines

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