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Canada Goose Holdings (TSX:GOOS) Beneish M-Score : -2.37 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Canada Goose Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.37 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:GOOS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.31   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.39
Current: -2.37

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Canada Goose Holdings was -1.39. The lowest was -3.31. And the median was -2.48.


Canada Goose Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canada Goose Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Canada Goose Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -1.66 -1.58 -3.31 -2.69 -2.44

Canada Goose Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.44 -2.53 -2.58 -2.37

Competitive Comparison of Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canada Goose Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Canada Goose Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Canada Goose Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0894+0.528 * 0.9854+0.404 * 1.1292+0.892 * 1.1065+0.115 * 0.9674
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0707+4.679 * -0.016668-0.327 * 1.0402
=-2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$153 Mil.
Revenue was 609.9 + 281.1 + 84.8 + 293.2 = C$1,269 Mil.
Gross Profit was 449.7 + 179.5 + 55.2 + 190.3 = C$875 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$846 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,602 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$450 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$122 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$768 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$453 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$626 Mil.
Net Income was 130.6 + 3.9 + -81.1 + -3.1 = C$50 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3.5 + -2.4 + -4.9 + -1 = C$-12 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 348.3 + -57.2 + -209.3 + 7 = C$89 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$127 Mil.
Revenue was 576.7 + 277.2 + 69.9 + 223.1 = C$1,147 Mil.
Gross Profit was 416.4 + 165.8 + 42.7 + 154.1 = C$779 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,011 Mil.
Total Assets was C$1,703 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$404 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$105 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$648 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$459 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$644 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(152.6 / 1269) / (126.6 / 1146.9)
=0.120252 / 0.110385
=1.0894

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(779 / 1146.9) / (874.7 / 1269)
=0.679222 / 0.689283
=0.9854

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (846.3 + 449.9) / 1601.9) / (1 - (1011.1 + 404.1) / 1703)
=0.190836 / 0.168996
=1.1292

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1269 / 1146.9
=1.1065

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(105 / (105 + 404.1)) / (121.9 / (121.9 + 449.9))
=0.206246 / 0.213186
=0.9674

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(767.8 / 1269) / (648.1 / 1146.9)
=0.605043 / 0.565088
=1.0707

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((625.9 + 453.4) / 1601.9) / ((643.7 + 459.4) / 1703)
=0.673762 / 0.647739
=1.0402

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(50.3 - -11.8 - 88.8) / 1601.9
=-0.016668

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Canada Goose Holdings has a M-score of -2.37 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Canada Goose Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Canada Goose Holdings (TSX:GOOS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
250 Bowie Avenue, Toronto, ON, CAN, M6E 4Y2
Canada Goose Holdings Inc is a Canada based company that designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails premium outerwear for men, women, and children. It operates business through three segments namely, Wholesale and Direct to Consumer (DTC), Other. The DTC segment, which is the key revenue driver, comprises sales through country-specific e-commerce platforms and its company-owned retail stores located in luxury shopping locations. The Wholesale segment comprises sales made to a mix of functional and fashionable retailers, including major luxury department stores, outdoor specialty stores, and individual shops, and international distributors. Geographically, it has a presence in Canada, the United States, Asia, Europe, and the Rest of the World.