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Transat AT (TSX:TRZ) Beneish M-Score : -3.19 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Transat AT Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.19 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Transat AT's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:TRZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.44   Med: -2.67   Max: 72.92
Current: -3.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Transat AT was 72.92. The lowest was -5.44. And the median was -2.67.


Transat AT Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Transat AT's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Transat AT Beneish M-Score Chart

Transat AT Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.16 -4.41 6.03 29.01 -3.69

Transat AT Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 72.92 -5.44 -3.88 -3.69 -3.19

Competitive Comparison of Transat AT's Beneish M-Score

For the Travel Services subindustry, Transat AT's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Transat AT's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Transat AT's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Transat AT's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Transat AT Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Transat AT for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7877+0.528 * -0.0529+0.404 * 1.026+0.892 * 1.5028+0.115 * 0.9155
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9991+4.679 * -0.087179-0.327 * 1.0006
=-3.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$153 Mil.
Revenue was 785.498 + 764.467 + 746.317 + 870.111 = C$3,166 Mil.
Gross Profit was 34.809 + 121.41 + 137.615 + 117.638 = C$411 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,422 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,786 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$1,082 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$195 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$226 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,631 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$1,653 Mil.
Net Income was -60.977 + 3.195 + 57.303 + -29.18 = C$-30 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -11.252 + -3.144 + 16.194 + -25.932 = C$-24 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 110.702 + -56.363 + -7.534 + 190.559 = C$237 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$130 Mil.
Revenue was 667.457 + 573.139 + 508.304 + 358.157 = C$2,107 Mil.
Gross Profit was 39.02 + 21.085 + -37.431 + -37.16 = C$-14 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,308 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,527 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$969 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$158 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$150 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,391 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$1,586 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(153.438 / 3166.393) / (129.623 / 2107.057)
=0.048458 / 0.061519
=0.7877

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-14.486 / 2107.057) / (411.472 / 3166.393)
=-0.006875 / 0.12995
=-0.0529

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1421.702 + 1082.125) / 2786.111) / (1 - (1308.156 + 969.346) / 2527.062)
=0.101318 / 0.098755
=1.026

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3166.393 / 2107.057
=1.5028

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(157.848 / (157.848 + 969.346)) / (195.411 / (195.411 + 1082.125))
=0.140036 / 0.152959
=0.9155

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(225.917 / 3166.393) / (150.47 / 2107.057)
=0.071348 / 0.071412
=0.9991

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1653.307 + 1630.733) / 2786.111) / ((1586.143 + 1390.652) / 2527.062)
=1.178718 / 1.177967
=1.0006

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-29.659 - -24.134 - 237.364) / 2786.111
=-0.087179

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Transat AT has a M-score of -3.19 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Transat AT Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Transat AT (TSX:TRZ) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
300 Leo-Pariseau Street, Suite 600, Montreal, QC, CAN, H2X 4C2
Transat A.T. Inc is a Canadian company that specializes in the organization, marketing, and distribution of holiday travel in the tourism industry. The company offers vacation packages, hotel stays, and air travel under the Transat and Air Transat brands. The company's core business consists of a Canadian leisure airline based in Canada that is vertically integrated with its other services of holiday packages, distribution through a dynamic travel agency network, value-added services at travel destinations, and accommodations. Its geographical segments include the Transatlantic, Americas, and others. It operates in one segment namely holiday travel.

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